In December, the crypto market is about to explode—three heavy bombs will detonate simultaneously this month.

The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, non-farm payroll data, and the largest options expiry week in history are all happening at the same time, which could cause Bitcoin's price to fluctuate like a roller coaster, with one-way volatility exceeding 10% being quite normal.

**Bomb One: Federal Reserve's Interest Rate Meeting on December 11**

The market bets on a 65% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut. If Powell speaks "softly" enough that day, hinting at continued easing of monetary policy, Bitcoin is likely to soar to $110,000.

But don't celebrate too early—what if Old Bao suddenly adopts a tougher stance on inflation? Do you remember the plunge on December 1st? It evaporated 4.3% in a day. History may repeat itself.

**Bomb II: December 16 Non-Farm Data**

If the employment data is disappointing (for example, if new jobs turn negative), the expectations for interest rate cuts will be stronger, and risk assets should theoretically rise.

However, there is a trap here: the market has already priced in the expectation of interest rate cuts. Once the data is released, it may be the time for "good news to be realized"—profit-taking could lead to a frantic exit, causing prices to turn down instead.

**Bomb Three: December 20th "Triple Witching Day" Options Expiration**

On this day, approximately $6.5 trillion in options contracts will expire, and the fluctuations in the S&P 500 will resonate through the crypto market like seismic waves.

By flipping through historical data, you will find that: within two days before and after the delivery, Bitcoin often performs the "first pump then dump" or "first dump then pump" routine, with a volatility of 5%-8% being quite common.

**How can ordinary players survive?**

**Spot traders: Enter in batches, don't go all in**
Buy in batches when it drops below $88,000 (previous low support level), and sell in batches when it rises above $110,000.
Focus on allocating mainstream coins like BTC and ETH that are resilient, and it's best to avoid those altcoins that have skyrocketed.

**Contract Party: Values Life More Than Profit**
Leverage should be controlled within 3 times, and a single position should not exceed 10% of the total funds——a spike liquidation like this is enough to make you regret for a lifetime.
Try not to open new positions 4 hours before and after the key dates (12/11, 12/20), wait until the storm passes.

**Focus on capital movement**
If Bitcoin ETFs experience consecutive large net inflows (over $300 million in a single day), it indicates that institutions are accumulating positions, which can be followed up.
But if the USDT premium rate suddenly plummets, that's a signal that funds are fleeing, so withdraw quickly.

**Key Point: Volatility itself is not scary, loss of control is what is fatal.**

In December, if the volatility skyrockets to over 80%, short-term experts could triple their monthly returns.

But the premise is: you have to keep 50% of cash on hand, so you won't be forced to cut losses by extreme market conditions.

In the face of such a highly volatile market, don't strain yourself trying to guess where the top and bottom are—that's a job for the gods. What you need to do is prepare a response plan in advance: what to do if it rises? What to do if it falls? What to do if it consolidates?

History has repeatedly proven: major events can lead to devastating losses or silent profits. The difference lies in whether you are prepared.