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McCarthy Out, Scalise's Now The Betting Favorite To Be Next House Speaker

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In a historic first, Rep. Kevin McCarthy got voted out as House Speaker on Tuesday—216-210 vote. Eight Republicans broke ranks to oust him, less than a year after he won the role through a brutal 15-ballot marathon in January.

Now the race is on for who takes the gavel next. Rep. Patrick McHenry (R-NC) is holding the interim spot, but the real competition hasn’t started yet.

Who’s Actually In The Running?

Online sportsbooks are already pricing the odds:

Top contenders:

  • Steve Scalise: -120 (clear favorite)
  • Kevin Hern & Mike Johnson: +700 (tied second)
  • Elise Stefanik: +900
  • Tom Emmer & Donald Trump: +1000
  • Patrick McHenry & Jim Jordan: +1200

Long shots:

  • Hakeem Jeffries (Democrat, current Minority Leader): +3300
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene: +6600
  • Matt Gaetz: +6600
  • Lauren Boebert: +20000

The Plot Twist

Yes, Trump’s on the list at +1000 odds. He actually got votes in the January Speaker race too—someone literally voted for him on ballots 7 and 8. And technically, the Speaker doesn’t have to be a current member of Congress, which opens the door to all kinds of chaos.

Compare this to January when McCarthy was the favorite at -150, and Scalise was sitting at +200. The dynamics have totally shifted.

Bottom line: Scalise’s the consensus pick right now, but this process is still early and anything could happen in Republican leadership roulette.

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