Track real-time hot topics in the crypto world and seize the best trading opportunities. Today is Thursday, December 4, 2025. I’m Wang Yibo! Good morning to all crypto friends ☀Loyal fans check-in👍Like for big profits🍗🍗🌹🌹,

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Yesterday, the cryptocurrency market experienced a strong rebound in major coins, driven by a combination of macroeconomic tailwinds and industry hot topics. All three major US stock indices closed higher, injecting confidence into the market—Dow rose 0.86%, Nasdaq up 0.17%, and S&P 500 up 0.3%. Crypto-related stocks led the gains, demonstrating sector linkage effects. More importantly, according to CME "FedWatch" data, the probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Fed in December has reached 89%, with only an 11% chance of keeping rates unchanged. For January next year, the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point cut is 64.8% and 50 basis points is 27.6%. Expectations of easing continue to rise, providing support for risk assets. Today, Ethereum completed the Fusaka upgrade, officially entering a twice-yearly hard fork rhythm. Although the contract market saw clear long and short liquidations, overall market resilience stood out. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum showed clear signs of strengthening after previous corrections, with bottom support gradually solidifying and upward momentum steadily building. The following analysis will discuss the specific trends and technical characteristics of both, and provide a morning trading strategy. Follow Yibo for continued tracking of the Fed’s policy implementations, institutional capital flows, on-chain data changes, and other core signals, with real-time updates on strategy layouts and target dynamics.

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Bitcoin started a straight-up rally from around $90,950 yesterday morning, reaching as high as $93,900 during the midday session before entering a consolidation range. In the evening session, there was a brief pullback to a low of $91,650, after which it consolidated and regained upward momentum following the US stock market open. As of now, it has surged to a recent rebound high near $94,180. On the daily chart, Bitcoin posted two consecutive strong bullish days after a four-day pullback, with a clear bottom reversal pattern beginning to take shape and bullish sentiment notably recovering. Technically, multiple clear strengthening signals have emerged: First, the lower Bollinger Band has turned upward, indicating that short-term bottom support has been effectively validated and downside space has been greatly narrowed. Second, the KDJ indicator has formed a golden cross at low levels and continues to spread upward, with bullish momentum gradually accumulating and being released in an orderly manner, providing ample fuel for further gains. Currently, Bitcoin's price action and short-term momentum are resonating positively, with both price breakouts and indicator confirmations appearing solid. The uptrend has strong certainty. Based on this, the morning trading strategy should focus on buying on dips, building long positions around key support levels.

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Ethereum also showed a choppy upward trend yesterday, further boosted by the successful completion of the Fusaka upgrade. Starting from a low of $2,970 in the early morning, it gradually climbed higher, peaking at $3,084 in the afternoon before entering a consolidation phase. Evening volatility intensified, with a quick dip to $3,028 followed by a rapid rebound to $3,147, then another brief pullback. This produced a whipsaw liquidation of both longs and shorts in the short term. However, market resilience remained strong, and after pulling back to around $3,053, Ethereum rallied again. As of now, it has surged up to $3,213, with the strength of the rebound gradually increasing. After several rounds of consolidation, a double-bottom support structure has formed below, with higher lows steadily building a solid foundation for the rebound. On the hourly chart, although the MACD shows a slight increase in bearish momentum bars, the narrowing Bollinger Bands have effectively limited downside risk, with no breakdown observed. Combined with the previous single-candle reversal pattern, Ethereum has accumulated ample upward momentum. Yesterday’s choppy consolidation has laid a solid foundation for breaking through previous resistance levels. From a trading perspective, the morning strategy is still to focus on buying on dips after pullbacks, leveraging support levels to capture rebound opportunities.