The latest odds on Polymarket are out—Hassett’s probability of being nominated as Fed Chair has shot straight past 80%!
This guy is no moderate. He’s a Republican economic hawk, a longtime Trump ally, and his policy style is far more aggressive than the current chair, Powell. If he really takes over, the pace of rate cuts could be completely rewritten.
Powell does two cuts a year? Hassett might make it a routine quarterly move. The money printer goes full throttle, paired with tax cuts, all with one goal: push GDP numbers to a satisfactory level.
In the coming year, the market could experience a rhythm like this:
**Stage One: Liquidity Frenzy** Stocks, gold, and crypto soar in tandem. With more money in the system, asset prices naturally climb, and bubbles of all kinds start to inflate.
**Stage Two: Policy Dilemma** Government debt becomes suffocating, and balance sheet reduction plans become meaningless. The room for further easing is squeezed, forcing attempts at a soft landing.
**The Final Game: Two Possible Outcomes** Either inflation is successfully controlled and risk assets enter a long-term bull market; or inflation spirals out of control, the Fed is forced into aggressive rate hikes, the stock market crashes, and the economy has a hard landing on a scale that could surpass 2008.
No matter which way things go, the Trump 2.0 era of monetary policy experimentation is already locked and loaded. Those entering the market now will either catch a historic rally or witness a historic crash. There’s no moderate middle ground. Is your portfolio ready?
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AllInDaddy
· 12-05 03:10
Once the money printer starts, it's all profit. I've already gone all in, bro.
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ApeWithAPlan
· 12-04 08:46
Damn, 80% odds are no joke. If this guy really goes for it, the money printer will take off, and our coin might actually be saved, right?
Just hodl, that's all there is to it. There’s no middle ground anyway, just lie flat and wait for the result.
Powell’s slow and steady approach is completely out, and I really didn’t expect a quarterly liquidity injection... This is about flooding the whole market with liquidity.
Honestly, not going all in feels like wasting time right now, but going all in is kind of scary too. I’m just torn.
Party as much as you want, but I’m just afraid of that hard landing afterward. If 2008 happens again, no one can handle it.
With the money printer running, asset prices are going to soar. I can follow that logic.
Just sitting back and watching the show, since my fate isn’t in my own hands anymore—the market decides.
There really is no third way in this gamble: either you make a killing or go broke. It feels a bit desperate, but also kind of exciting.
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4am_degen
· 12-04 08:45
80%? If this guy really goes for it, we better fasten our seatbelts. The money printer will just keep running non-stop.
Either we get filthy rich or blow up—there's really no middle ground.
We have to seize this wave of liquidity frenzy. Once the debt pressure explodes, it'll be too late.
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rugged_again
· 12-04 08:40
Hassett taking office is like turning on the money printer, gotta bet on the right direction this time.
Money printer at full speed—whether we get filthy rich or get liquidated depends on fate.
80% probability? Feels like the crypto market is about to take off again, but I'm getting cold feet.
Another all-or-nothing moon-or-rock scenario, the room for maneuver is insanely exciting.
Liquidity frenzy sounds great, just worried it might be a flash-in-the-pan scheme.
My position? Already all in, it's either riches or nothing.
Hawkish money printer, this trade is looking risky, guys.
In a bubble expansion phase, everything goes up—question is, when will it burst?
Betting on a soft landing—the odds are low, but the payout is huge.
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DeFiCaffeinator
· 12-04 08:25
An 80% odds is pretty intense. Is the hawkish money printer about to start up? Looks like the crypto market is about to take off.
The latest odds on Polymarket are out—Hassett’s probability of being nominated as Fed Chair has shot straight past 80%!
This guy is no moderate. He’s a Republican economic hawk, a longtime Trump ally, and his policy style is far more aggressive than the current chair, Powell. If he really takes over, the pace of rate cuts could be completely rewritten.
Powell does two cuts a year? Hassett might make it a routine quarterly move. The money printer goes full throttle, paired with tax cuts, all with one goal: push GDP numbers to a satisfactory level.
In the coming year, the market could experience a rhythm like this:
**Stage One: Liquidity Frenzy**
Stocks, gold, and crypto soar in tandem. With more money in the system, asset prices naturally climb, and bubbles of all kinds start to inflate.
**Stage Two: Policy Dilemma**
Government debt becomes suffocating, and balance sheet reduction plans become meaningless. The room for further easing is squeezed, forcing attempts at a soft landing.
**The Final Game: Two Possible Outcomes**
Either inflation is successfully controlled and risk assets enter a long-term bull market; or inflation spirals out of control, the Fed is forced into aggressive rate hikes, the stock market crashes, and the economy has a hard landing on a scale that could surpass 2008.
No matter which way things go, the Trump 2.0 era of monetary policy experimentation is already locked and loaded. Those entering the market now will either catch a historic rally or witness a historic crash. There’s no moderate middle ground. Is your portfolio ready?