After so many years in the crypto space, I’ve become more and more certain of one thing: the people who actually make money are those who can spot trends half a step ahead of everyone else. Right now, even though the market looks chaotic, the key signals are actually pretty clear. Here are a few judgments I’ve drawn from analyzing on-chain data, major capital flows, and the broader economic environment—cutting straight to the point.

**1. Allocation Strategy: Focus on Certainty, Stop Chasing Pipe Dreams**

The market is accelerating its divergence—BTC and ETH are getting stronger, while the rebound window for altcoins is getting shorter. If you look at the on-chain data, institutional money is piling into mainstream assets. Traditional financial giants like BlackRock have accumulated over $175 billion in crypto assets through ETFs. Also, on-chain stablecoin transactions reached $9 trillion in the past year, and this liquidity is mostly revolving around BTC and ETH.

What I’m doing now: at least 70% of my portfolio is in BTC and ETH, and the rest is only in WLFI sector projects with real ecosystem support. I absolutely avoid those highly volatile meme coins.

**2. Macro Environment: Rate Cut Expectations + WLFI Narrative, Altcoins Might Have a Chance**

On a macro level, expectations for Fed rate cuts are heating up. Looking back at history, every easing cycle has fueled a rally in high-risk assets. WLFI (the Web3 + AI fusion) is the new narrative and it’s already attracted a huge number of developers and capital. In the Solana ecosystem, trading volume for AI-related projects has surged 1900% year-on-year, and the DePIN (Decentralized Physical Infrastructure) sector is projected to reach $3.5 trillion by 2028.

Signals to watch for: when stablecoins start to massively...