1. Beware of Bull Market Traps

Hot Coins = High-Risk Zone
Coins that are crazily FOMOed during a bull market are often heavily manipulated and highly inflated.
→ Principle: Whales pump the price to attract retail investors to buy in. Once funds exit, the drop is much steeper than the overall market.
→ Countermeasure: Better to miss out than chase hot coins that have already surged over 50%.
New Coins = Immediate Slicing
New coins strongly promoted by exchanges often follow a "listed-pump-dump" pattern.
→ Example: An IEO project on a certain exchange surged 10x in 3 days, then was halved, trapping 90% of retail investors.
→ Iron Rule: Watch new coins for 3 months before deciding, avoid emotional trading.

2. See Through Altcoin Tricks
Altcoin Harvesting Formula
"Violent shakeout → Stepwise pump → Rebranding and harvesting" is the standard procedure.
→ Data: Over 80% of altcoins have lifespans <1 year, with a wipeout rate over 95%.
→ Solution: Use only 5% of your portfolio for altcoin speculation, take profits in batches as soon as you win.
Biggest Rebound ≠ Biggest Potential
Coins with wild swings are mostly speculative, such as meme coins which often drop back 80%+ after short-term pumps.
→ Truth: Quality projects usually have volatility less than 1.5x the market's amplitude.

3. Capture Long-Term Opportunities
Time Dilutes Volatility
Mainstream coins like BTC/ETH have averaged over 200% annualized return in 10 years, but you must withstand 40%+ short-term drawdowns.
→ Strategy: Use DCA (dollar-cost averaging) + cold wallet storage, avoid frequent trading.
Potential Coins Hide in Unpopular Areas
Truly valuable projects often have low trading volume before taking off, e.g., C98 went sideways at the bottom for 11 months before surging 27x.
→ Discovery Tips: Watch for GitHub code updates, institutional holdings, and other on-chain data.
Late Bull Market Dark Horses
Mainstream Layer1/Layer2 projects that lagged early (such as ATOM/NEAR) often catch up with 3-5x gains at the end of the bull market.
→ Key: Reserve 30% of funds to wait for right-side opportunities.

4. Top Trading Mindset
Counterintuitive Training
"Buy the dip, sell the rally" is the norm. Use grid trading automation: add to position every 10% drop, reduce position every 20% rise.
Sell Signal Detection
If price breaks previous highs then quickly falls 15%+ with shrinking volume → Take 50% profit immediately.
Sideways = Accumulation
Coins that consolidate in a narrow range (amplitude <30%) for 3-6 months have a breakout probability over 70% after breaking resistance.
→ Example: In 2021, SOL traded sideways for 4 months before starting a 10x run.

Ultimate Survival Guide
✅ Action Rule: Complete research and position within 24 hours of spotting an opportunity
✅ Information Leverage: Monitor 5 key data sources (such as CoinGlass long/short ratio, Glassnode on-chain metrics)

Risk Red Line: Single coin position ≤20%, never all-in with leverage
Remember, fellow crypto enthusiasts: In crypto, surviving longer is more important than making fast gains
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