Watching the charts is not as effective as watching the calendar—this may sound harsh, but it's the truth.
In this kind of range-bound market where prices can't break up or down, if you ask me what's next, honestly, the script has already been written; most people just haven't bothered to check the calendar.
Capital flows and news events are always more useful than candlestick charts. Instead of drawing lines on charts all day, it's better to focus on three key time windows—the market in the next few weeks will basically revolve around these points.
Once you understand this logic, at the very least, if you lose money, you'll know why. Blindly following the charts? That's just giving money away to the market for nothing.
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fren_with_benefits
· 12-08 04:00
I've heard the calendar-watching strategy too many times; the ones who really make money are those doing the opposite.
Following the crowd and looking at K-lines is indeed foolish, but do you dare to bet on news events? You still end up getting dumped on.
In the end, the calendar crowd still has to see who dumps and who picks up the bags.
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LightningPacketLoss
· 12-08 03:58
Haha, I’ve heard this theory quite a few times, but honestly, how many people actually go and check the calendar?
To put it bluntly, we still have to wait for those key FED events; everything else is just white noise.
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Lonely_Validator
· 12-08 03:54
What you said about the calendar is true, but I still have to keep watching the market—I just can't quit.
Seriously, I'm also watching those key levels around major event windows, but what I fear most are black swans.
Drawing lines really isn't that meaningful; what really matters is the capital flow.
It's only when you start losing money that you remember to check the calendar—by then it's too late, haha.
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DefiEngineerJack
· 12-08 03:51
ngl the calendar thesis is actually legit but most people miss the macro mechanics underneath. it's not just dates—it's institutional rebalancing windows + regulatory filing deadlines creating predictable liquidity cascades. those degens drawing lines won't catch it til after the move executes
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TommyTeacher
· 12-08 03:50
What you said about the calendar is spot on, but the problem is, who can really anticipate it in advance?
Drawing lines really isn't meaningful; you still have to watch how the news and funds move.
The key points over the next few weeks are indeed crucial, but it feels like someone always falls into a trap every time.
The scariest thing is thinking you understand the logic, but you still end up getting trapped.
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RugPullAlarm
· 12-08 03:37
On-chain data is the real truth; those who draw lines are just cases of survivor bias. The key is to look at the fund flows of whale addresses over the past few weeks, as the news has long been priced in by the major players.
Watching the charts is not as effective as watching the calendar—this may sound harsh, but it's the truth.
In this kind of range-bound market where prices can't break up or down, if you ask me what's next, honestly, the script has already been written; most people just haven't bothered to check the calendar.
Capital flows and news events are always more useful than candlestick charts. Instead of drawing lines on charts all day, it's better to focus on three key time windows—the market in the next few weeks will basically revolve around these points.
Once you understand this logic, at the very least, if you lose money, you'll know why. Blindly following the charts? That's just giving money away to the market for nothing.