#数字货币市场洞察 Keep a close eye on three major waves this December.

First up is the Federal Reserve meeting on the 11th—there’s an 87% probability of a rate cut, and if expectations reverse, the market will shake hard. Looking further ahead, on the 19th, the Bank of Japan may raise rates, which would mean global money gets pulled back, liquidity will tighten significantly, and that’s not friendly to risk assets.

But the real highlight comes at the end of the year. On the 26th, $BTC will see options settlement with a notional value of $23 billion—the largest of the year. Bulls and bears will clash fiercely at two key price points: $100,000 (maximum pain point) and $84,000 (PUT peak value). With this showdown, short-term volatility is guaranteed.