Market's leaning hard into a no-move scenario for the Fed come January. Traders are pricing in an 82% probability that rates stay put. That's a strong consensus forming around holding steady, at least for now. Worth watching how this shifts as we get closer to the meeting—these odds rarely stay frozen.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
11 Likes
Reward
11
6
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
SchroedingerAirdrop
· 3h ago
82% of bets are not moving? This time the Federal Reserve is really going to play the role of a sitting duck.
View OriginalReply0
MidnightTrader
· 19h ago
82% probability? This consensus is too neat, feels like there's a trap.
View OriginalReply0
BearMarketSunriser
· 19h ago
82% probability? This time the Federal Reserve is really going to hold steady, interesting.
View OriginalReply0
WagmiAnon
· 19h ago
82% stagnant? That's so high, it feels a bit too consistent... Usually, at times like this, you're more likely to get proven wrong. Let's wait and see.
View OriginalReply0
consensus_whisperer
· 20h ago
82% are not betting actively? There might be a reversal in January.
View OriginalReply0
ImpermanentLossEnjoyer
· 20h ago
82% really this stable? I'm watching it; a single news story can reverse this thing.
Market's leaning hard into a no-move scenario for the Fed come January. Traders are pricing in an 82% probability that rates stay put. That's a strong consensus forming around holding steady, at least for now. Worth watching how this shifts as we get closer to the meeting—these odds rarely stay frozen.