#数字资产生态回暖 Senior US officials are showing divergent views on monetary policy. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick recently openly criticized the Federal Reserve's high interest rate stance, while also suggesting that if Trump takes office, economic growth could surge to 6%, which would then necessitate rate cuts and lower energy costs.

The underlying message behind these statements is quite clear—the fiscal and monetary policies in the US may undergo significant shifts. For financial markets, such policy signals often serve as the most sensitive indicators for large capital flows.

From another perspective, if interest rates indeed decline as expected, liquidity will become significantly more abundant. Idle funds will naturally flow into higher-risk asset classes, and high-volatility assets like cryptocurrencies have historically been the first to benefit. $BTC, as the primary safe-haven asset, often plays a hedging role during cycles of increased US dollar liquidity, and this logic has remained unchanged over time.

The combination of optimistic economic growth expectations and a loose monetary environment opens up room for risk asset valuation recovery. Although recent volatility has been considerable, it presents opportunities for patient investors. Major cryptocurrencies like $BTC and $ETH tend to reflect long-term value during each pullback.

Honestly, the riskiest move for retail investors at this stage is chasing highs or using leverage. A smarter approach is to build positions gradually in quality assets and avoid going all-in at once. Additionally, keep a close eye on when the Federal Reserve will actually take action and any new policy developments, as these will directly influence market momentum.

If you haven't yet identified a specific entry point, dollar-cost averaging and diversified allocation are the most prudent strategies. Adjust your risk level only after the macro outlook is fully confirmed, which can greatly reduce the chance of pitfalls. Policy battles create opportunities, but only if you survive long enough.