$AIA ## 📈 Market Analysis

AIA has seen sharp swings in the past 3 days, fluctuating between **0.12 and 0.31 USDT** and dropping over **50%**. RSI has plunged to **3.3**, indicating extreme oversold conditions near the lower end of the range. Trading volume has shrunk significantly, with both price and volume declining, suggesting a possible short-term rebound but direction remains unclear.

## 📄 News Focus

- **New York establishes the first US office for blockchain and digital assets**, driving innovation and regulation, boosting long-term compliance expectations and benefiting the crypto sector;
- **US passes cryptocurrency legislation**, clarifying the future regulatory path for digital assets and strengthening market confidence;
- **European banks advance euro stablecoin compliance pilots**, potentially increasing mainstream institutional participation.

 

Macro policy improvements continue to support long-term optimism, but short-term moves are still driven by liquidity flows.

## 🧐 Market Sentiment

- The overall crypto market is in a state of **fear** (**Crypto Fear & Greed Index: 29**), with low risk appetite;
- KOL opinions are mostly bearish, with more negative than positive views, reflecting weak market confidence;
- Social media discussion is moderate, with investors largely adopting a wait-and-see attitude.

## ✨ Key Points to Watch

- **Whether trading volume recovers**: Persistent low volume limits rebound potential; a pickup would help repair sentiment;
- **Changes in on-chain capital flows**: Large inflows or outflows will impact market mood;
- **Macro policy developments**: Rate cut expectations and regulatory changes remain key drivers and need close monitoring;
- **Whether institutions keep buying or selling**: Major institutional moves directly affect confidence;
- **Whether sentiment shifts from division to consensus**: Unified market views often signal trend changes.

 

Overall, AIA is technically extremely oversold and sentiment remains weak; future moves depend more on volume and macro policy shifts.