Many newcomers to the crypto space can't escape one curse—the "HODL" strategy. The seemingly simple "hold and endure" approach is actually gambling against the market, and the odds are never in your favor.



Imagine Bitcoin at the 100,000 level. You shorted it but didn't set a stop-loss. How many possible outcomes are there next? The market could surge, causing you to get liquidated instantly. Or it could rise to a level that scares you, prompting you to cut your losses and exit, suffering a heavy loss. If luck is on your side, the market might rise then fall, giving you a chance to break even. Or the market could drop directly, and a small decline would make you profit. The most ideal scenario is the market crashing, and you making a big profit.

Where's the problem? There are only two endings for a HODL trader: either hold until the market recovers to break even and then stop, or get liquidated. Or they only dare to exit if they are in profit at the time of opening the position. Over the long run, your profit and loss ratio makes no sense—winning small when you win, getting liquidated when you lose. That's even less profitable than gambling at Macau; they can win 100 bucks by betting 100 bucks.

HODLers take such huge risks, but in the end, only gain tiny profits. Basically, this kind of trading is a loss.
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Web3ExplorerLinvip
· 8h ago
hypothesis: the bagholding phenomenon is essentially a failure in oracle network design—your personal risk management oracle never gets queried before you enter the position. interesting parallel to byzantine generals, except here every trader thinks they're the one with truthful information lmao
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MetaDreamervip
· 13h ago
That's exactly right. This is how I went from losing 100,000 to zero.
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NewPumpamentalsvip
· 13h ago
Not setting a stop-loss on a trade is basically inviting death. I've seen too many people blow up their accounts this way. That's so true. Holding a position is a psychological game, and in the end, most people can't outplay the market. The saying "the odds are not in our favor" really hits home. It's really like that. Shorting without a stop-loss is definitely a trap. I've been burned by this before, and now I only make moves after setting everything up properly. This game is essentially gambling, with risk and reward clearly not proportional.
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wrekt_but_learningvip
· 13h ago
Really, holding a position is just digging a hole for yourself; the odds are simply not fair.
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AirdropHunterKingvip
· 13h ago
Oh man, this is my blood and tears story from last year. When it was 100,000, I held on like this too, almost getting liquidation and zeroing out.
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