2026-01-01 06:30:12

#Strategy加码BTC配置 2026 The gold market is still bullish, and Goldman Sachs's target of $4900 remains worth considering. However, to truly position oneself, the key is to find the right entry point—if there is a pullback to around 3820 within the year, that would be a good opportunity for long positions; in case of a deep correction, the medium-term support level to watch is around 3500.

From a technical perspective:

On the monthly chart, after a surge in December, a long bullish candlestick was formed, indicating that upward momentum is waning. The key support this month is at 4163; as long as this level holds, the pattern of high-level consolidation will continue. But once it is confirmed to break below 4163/4130, be prepared to see a deep retracement near 4000.

On the daily chart, after reaching 4373 yesterday, there was a significant pullback of nearly one hundred dollars, closing with a long shadow bearish candlestick. Currently, Friday should see a phase of consolidation.

Price ranges to watch closely:
▫️Main trading zone: 4373-4274, before breaking through, a small stop-loss strategy of shorting high and buying low can be used
▫️Resistance levels above: 4320 (important watershed), 4342-53, 4420-30
▫️Support levels below: 4304, 4286/4274, 4262-30, 4230

Trading ideas:
1️⃣ Above 4304, try a small long position; if it breaks below, focus on how well support at 4286/4274 holds
2️⃣ If the 4320 level does not break, there is room for short-term short positions; once stabilized, there is potential to explore the 4342-53 area

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SnapshotBot

· 12h ago

4320 is really a hurdle; if it can't be broken, expect continued volatility. I actually think 3820 is the real good entry point; currently, this price level is a bit awkward.

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MerkleTreeHugger

· 12h ago

It's the same old number game again, making me dizzy. Maybe I'll wait until it drops to 3500 before considering it.

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GateUser-a5fa8bd0

· 12h ago

Can the crucial support at 3500 really hold? It feels a bit shaky.

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TrustlessMaximalist

· 13h ago

Once again, it's the same 4320 argument, feels like it's being discussed every week... But I do remember the key support at 3500. Another round of high-altitude low-buy tricks, I think I'll wait until it drops back to 3800 before getting in. Ran to 4373 and then ran away, this repeated messing around is really annoying. Goldman Sachs's expectation of 4900 is a bit optimistic, but I do see an opportunity to get involved. Breaking 4163 would be troublesome, feels like there are still variables at the end of the year. A small stop-loss for high-altitude low-buy sounds good, just worried about being smashed through. Bullish at 2026? Let's see if it can get past this hurdle next year first. Support levels are piling up, but I don't know which one to trust. The price range is so volatile, short-term traders might get bloodied. If 3500 can't hold steady, that would be really troublesome.

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FallingLeaf

· 13h ago

Goldman Sachs's 4900 target sounds good, but truly making money still depends on the rhythm. The pullback at 3820 is indeed an opportunity. Wait, is 4320 really that critical? It seems like there's always this kind of statement. If it doesn't break 4163, it will continue to fluctuate. The logic is fine; it just depends on whether it can really hold. This wave pulled back directly from 4373 by a hundred points, a bit aggressive... Probably still need to do some shakeout on Friday. I remember this point at 4304, I'll try a small position to test the waters. Honestly, no matter how sophisticated the technical analysis is, it can't prevent sudden news. Still need to stay alert. Small stop-loss for high short positions and low long positions sounds safe, just worried about slippage hitting the stop-loss. Once 4320 stabilizes, is there really a chance to push to 4342? Or will it need repeated confirmation? I'm a bit tired.

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SatoshiHeir

· 13h ago

It should be pointed out that this analytical framework fundamentally has three obvious logical flaws—first, Goldman Sachs's $4900 target itself lacks on-chain data support and is purely a speculation under fiat currency thinking; second, your interpretation of the long bullish candlestick on the monthly chart clearly reverses the true technical meaning; finally, placing hope on these integer thresholds is essentially gambler's mentality... Undoubtedly, the true underlying logic should return to Satoshi Nakamoto's white paper for reflection—Bitcoin was never created for you to repeatedly cut losses between 4320 and 4304.

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