January 5, 2026 15:00 (UTC+8), ETH price is approximately 3185. The bullish trend remains solid, with short-term high-level oscillations leaning strong. The core strategy focuses on buying on dips and cautious high-level shorting. Below are precise levels and risk control rules.

Core Key Levels (USD)

- Support: 3150-3160 (intraday support); 3100-3120 (strong support lifeline); 3070-3080 (mid-term defense); 3050 (stop-loss bottom line).
- Resistance: 3190-3200 (intraday high); 3250-3280 (strong resistance); 3280+ (volume breakout targeting 3350-3400).

Trading Levels and Risk Control (with stop-loss/take-profit/position size)

- 🔵 Long positions (preferred)
- Conservative long: build positions in batches at 3070-3080, stop-loss below 3050, target 3150-3160, position ≤10%.
- Aggressive long: buy on stabilization at 3150-3160 after pullback, stop-loss at 3130, target 3190-3200, position ≤5%.
- Chase longs (breakout): volume breakout above 3280 with light positions, stop-loss at 3250, target 3350-3400, position ≤3%.
- 🔴 Short positions (cautious)
- High short: try shorting in batches at 3190-3200, stop-loss at 3220, target 3150-3160, position ≤3%.
- Stop-loss: short positions are only for short-term trades; exit immediately if breaking below 3250.
- 🛡 Position management
- Longs: move stop-loss up to 3130 after profit, reduce positions in batches if below 3100, close all if below 3070.
- Shorts: take profit around 3150-3160, no overnight holds.
- Leverage: contract leverage ≤5x, each stop-loss ≤5% of total funds, avoid chasing high and heavy positions.

Risk Reminder

- Beware of 1-hour RSI overbought and 4-hour MACD weakening signals that may trigger a correction; avoid blindly chasing highs.
- Monitor ETH ETF fund flows, staking unlocks, BTC volatility, US stock market, and macro policies.
- The above is technical analysis and does not constitute investment advice. The market carries risks; operate cautiously.