Pay attention to risk events. The Supreme Court's ruling on tariff policies will be announced this Friday. What is the current consensus in the trading market? Data shows that approximately 77% of participants are betting that the ruling will be deemed illegal and invalid.

What does this mean? If the outcome aligns with market expectations, the entire financial market could experience significant volatility. The government’s trade policies, which have been in place for over a year, may be overturned, requiring a reassessment of related expectations. Additionally, the US trade deficit issue remains unresolved.

Deeper implications are worth considering: if this policy is indeed overturned, the path to revitalizing American manufacturing will become even longer. Some analysts openly state that, at this pace, the US economy’s competitiveness could decline over the next 20 years, leading to a significant shift in its relative position.

What about the implications for the crypto market? The greater the macroeconomic uncertainty, the more attention is often given to safe-haven assets and alternative investments. For those monitoring such black swan events recently, it’s important to proactively manage risks.