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Understanding the true intentions of the main players in the crypto market actually comes down to catching a few key signals.
Let's start with trading volume. During the shakeout phase, trading volume often shows a gradual decline, indicating that the main players are slowly accumulating. But if they really start to distribute, you'll see a sudden surge in volume—that's a sign they are unable to execute large trades quietly.
Next, look at the price position. When the price rises about 30% from the bottom, it's common to see repeated shakeouts and oscillations—that's normal. The problem arises when the increase exceeds 60%; at this point, be alert, as the main players are likely beginning to distribute at high levels.
The intraday chart provides further insight. During shakeouts, the K-line jumps up and down, with a fragmented trend; during the distribution phase, the intraday movement appears quite "steady," even stagnating, which is actually a sign that the main players are quietly selling off in the background.
Currently, many altcoins are repeatedly testing their bottom zones. Determining which ones have truly bottomed requires your own analysis. But there's a truth—it's not necessary to buy at the absolute lowest point. As long as your directional judgment is correct, entering at relatively low levels and decisively exiting at relatively high levels makes the trade successful.