2026-01-07 14:10:31

#以太坊大户持仓变化 $BTC $BREV $ETH

Will the US job growth slowdown stabilize the market in the first month of the new year?

Just after the New Year, bad news arrived. When the December ADP employment data was released, a gain of 41,000 was a bit shocking—well below the market expectation of 50,000. The momentum in the US labor market appears to be slowing down into a recession. Although the private sector is still hiring, its momentum has weakened significantly. Large companies are laying off or freezing hiring, while small and medium-sized enterprises are barely filling gaps, unable to support the overall situation.

Looking at industries, education, healthcare, and services are still holding up, but professional services and manufacturing continue to languish. ADP’s chief economist openly stated, "Large employers are still contracting, only micro and small businesses are barely staying afloat." Interestingly, the wage growth for job switchers has actually risen to 6.6%—indicating that talent competition isn’t as cold as it seems.

The real drama has yet to begin. Will Friday’s non-farm payroll report reverse the downward trend? Will the unemployment rate unexpectedly drop? Can the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut plans continue? The tug-of-war between employment and inflation has entered a decisive moment, and crypto traders are all waiting for this.

BTC0,37%

ETH0,8%

BREV-0,94%

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FalseProfitProphet

· 01-09 20:52

With employment data so disappointing, will the Federal Reserve still cut interest rates? That's the key. If the non-farm payroll report also tanks, Friday might see a bloodbath.

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EthMaximalist

· 01-09 10:18

Another conspiracy theory about unemployment data? On non-farm payroll day, it's time for another bloodbath.

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gas_fee_trauma

· 01-08 23:46

Here comes the employment data again, every time they talk about the "decisive moment," but what happens? On Friday, non-farm payrolls still depend on the FED's stance. Anyway, in the end, it's our wallets that take the hit.

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HashBrownies

· 01-07 14:38

With such poor employment data, the big players are still accumulating coins. That's quite interesting.

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CryingOldWallet

· 01-07 14:36

Here comes the economic data to cut the leeks again, each time claiming it's the "decisive moment."

Before non-farm payrolls, it always crashes. I've been playing this trick for three years.

The big players have probably already laid their traps in advance, right?

Waiting for Friday—either bankruptcy or getting rich, no middle ground.

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ArbitrageBot

· 01-07 14:36

The wave of layoffs has arrived. Still want to stay steady? Wake up.

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LowCapGemHunter

· 01-07 14:35

Once again, U.S. employment data is stirring the waters. Friday's non-farm payrolls are the real watershed, and gamblers are all eager to get started.

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GasWaster