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Behind the strong performance of Bitcoin and Ethereum last night, there are actually typical technical retracement signals. To understand the upcoming market trend, we need to start from several key levels.
**Bottoms have stabilized, but a confirmation is still needed**
From the candlestick chart, the support at the bottom has already stabilized. But there is a detail — the area around 90500 has not been fully tested yet. Technically, this means there is a high probability of a retracement. This is not a bearish move, but rather a preparation for a more stable upward trend later.
**The resistance level on the 4-hour chart is very critical**
Looking at the trend line on the 4-hour timeframe, there is a clear resistance. Combined with the overall technical analysis, the likelihood of a retracement is quite high. Why is this wave relatively safe? Because the logic is clear, and the resistance level is obvious, not a vague gambling-type trade.
**Resonance between patterns and indicators**
The "three peaks and four breaks" pattern has entered its fourth retest of the midline. So far, there has been no effective breakdown. Meanwhile, although I don’t rely solely on MACD for trading decisions, the signals here are already very clear — they are at a level of reference certainty.
**Main players’ usual tactic is repeated retesting**
Before the market at the bottom fully starts, repeated retests are a common operation by the big players. Each retest is essentially consolidating chips and accumulating bullish strength. Based on the current retest rhythm, a rapid surge is not far off.
**Timing is very important**
Starting from the 2910–2945 zone, I have been warning that the market will break upward. The recent retests in the past couple of days are basically in place, and a quick rally is not far away. I suggest everyone pay close attention to this rhythm; when the market really starts, reactions are often very quick.
The logic on Bitcoin’s side is roughly like this. I will organize a detailed analysis of Ethereum later.
Wait, why hasn't Ethereum been sorted out yet? Don’t flake on me again.
This level at 90500 is really hard to break through, confirm it quickly.
Three breakthroughs and four breaches, entering the fourth time? Then it's our turn now.
The main force's move this time is really old school, playing the game of accumulating chips over and over again.
The 90500 level is a bit interesting. It really feels like I need to confirm it again to feel at ease.
The 4-hour resistance level is so obvious. A logical order is definitely much more comfortable than gambling.
The main force just loves to keep messing around. Every dip is accumulating strength. I've seen through this routine long ago.
I've been reminding since 2910 that the retracement has been almost complete in the past two days. The signal for a rapid rise should be coming soon.
Although I don't fully trust MACD, the signal this time is indeed clear enough.
I'm a bit looking forward to the Ethereum analysis later. Let's see how you break down this wave of market行情.
Wait, this logic actually seems pretty clear. The resistance level is indeed there.
The main players' tactic is to repeatedly confirm, in other words, to buy time and accumulate chips.
Rapid surges often happen in an instant. Missed it, and it's gone. Need to keep a close eye.
What about Ethereum? When will it be written? It's driving me crazy.
Wait, can 90500 really hold steady? I doubt it.
The main force's tactics are just this routine, any accumulation of chips should lead to a quick surge. Wow, the logic is so clear it’s frightening.
Three breakthroughs and four breaches of the middle band without actually breaking it... Is this time really different?
Pay close attention to the rhythm, don’t react too late and end up unable to run.
The market reacts quickly when it starts, so stay alert and watch closely
If the 4-hour resistance level can't be broken, don't make reckless moves
Main force repeatedly shaking out traders, I'm used to it
I've seen the three突 four破 pattern too many times, now just waiting for the surge
Once the chips are settled, it's time to move; this logic is sound
After 2945, it should accelerate, feeling it's about to happen
Bottom confirmation takes time, why rush?
The MACD signal is so obvious, ignoring it would be unreasonable
The main reason is that the 4h resistance level is indeed obvious, not just guessing blindly, there's some pattern.
What am I waiting for? Just waiting for a quick surge.
I don't really trust MACD, but this time the signal is indeed clear.
Three breakthroughs and four breaches, this is the fourth time, feeling close, need to hold the middle track.
Every time there's a retest, it's all about stacking chips, I understand, but it's a bit annoying to keep confirming this over and over.
When will the Ethereum part be released? Don't be too slow.
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Just retest it, anyway a wave of washout is coming sooner or later. The key is not to break below the support.
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Hey, that logic sounds good, but it feels like every time they say "a quick surge is not far away," then it just consolidates for three days.
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I agree with the 4-hour resistance level, but can it really start at this point? It feels like it still needs to be refined.
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Three breakthroughs and four penetrations, and we're back in the middle band? Why so much certainty? Can't there be some uncertainty?
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From 2910 to 2945, I didn't see you remind me. Now that you say the retest is in place, give me a shout next time.
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Main force repeatedly retesting is just about accumulating. I'm tired of this explanation, but the logic is indeed clear.
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Pay close attention to the rhythm; reaction time is very short... Got it. It's that kind of market where you miss the opportunity in the blink of an eye.
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As long as the bottom stabilizes, it's over. Why bother retesting? It's a waste of time.