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Surviving is more difficult than making big money. This is not just motivational talk; it's the truth about contract trading.
From repeated early losses and liquidations, I have developed a set of survival rules. Beginners who follow these have ultimately survived. I hope these four ironclad rules can help you avoid detours.
**The first trap of adding positions: Never add when in a loss**
When first entering contracts, many want to add positions at the slightest opposite move, thinking it will lower the average cost. But what happens? You end up losing even more. My current principle is very strict: as long as I am in a loss, I ask myself—"If I close my position now, would I dare to re-enter?" If not, I immediately exit or even reduce my position. Adding to a losing position is gambling, and the cost of that gamble is liquidation. Only consider adding when in profit, as the odds are on your side.
**Understand the market rhythm**
Don’t panic during sharp drops in the early session. Crypto markets often show deep V-shaped rebounds, and those rushing to cut losses often sell at the bottom. But a sudden surge at the end of the session is usually a trap to lure more buyers; the probability of a pullback the next day is high. At this point, decisively reduce your position to lock in profits. Also, don’t forget this signal—low volume with small positive candles indicates a bottom, with shrinking volume but slight price increase. Big money is lurking behind this.
**Use two moving averages to determine trend**
Don’t get caught up in complicated indicators; mastering the 5-day and 20-day moving averages is enough. If the 5-day MA holds, the short-term trend is stable; if the 20-day MA holds, the medium-term trend is stable. Once the price falls below these averages, don’t hesitate—exit immediately. The market isn’t about emotions; discipline is what matters.
**Hard stop-loss and take-profit indicators**
These two are life and death lines: if losses exceed 10%, cut without hesitation. If profits exceed 20%, take profit when a 5% retracement occurs; if profits exceed 30%, close when a 10% retracement happens. Profits in crypto come quickly, but being able to hold is true skill. Letting greed destroy your account is not worth it.
Final words: Discipline is the tool that keeps you alive. These rules may seem simple, but few truly follow them. Market opportunities are endless, but if your capital is gone, no matter how big the trend, it’s irrelevant to you. Turn these rules into muscle memory, and making money will come naturally.
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After reading it, what was said is correct, but the difficulty lies in execution. Can you really calmly reduce your position when experiencing losses...
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Cut 10%, retreat 5% at 20%, sounds simple but really hard to do, can't get past the psychological barrier
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The most heartbreaking thing is "Once the principal is gone, even a big market movement has nothing to do with you." I have this phrase engraved in my mind
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Discipline is like quitting smoking; everyone understands it but few can do it
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Lowering costs through averaging down has tricked too many people, that's how I blew up...
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Discipline is easy to talk about, but when the market comes, who can really hold back? Greed is embedded in our DNA.
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A 10% stop loss sounds simple, but a market rebound can make you regret cutting your losses. That’s the hardest part.
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I’ve noticed the small positive volume signals like the low volume small bullish candles; they do indicate a bottom, but I’ve been fooled a few times too.
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End-of-day rallying is just a trap to lure in buyers. You need some experience to see through it; beginners simply can’t tell the difference.
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The 5 and 20 moving averages are really useful, much better than those flashy indicators.
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Staying alive is truly harder than making money. As long as your account is still there, you have a chance to turn things around. Once it blows up, it’s all over.
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Taking profits at 20% and selling some is quite conservative. Sometimes you do miss out on big market moves.
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Adding to your position to average down is a gambler’s mentality. Losing and still wanting to recover means you end up taking even bigger risks.
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Seemingly simple discipline, but when it comes to execution, you realize how greedy human nature can be.
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Cut 10%, withdraw at 20%... if you really follow this, you'd have survived until now. The only fear is a rebound, then regret starts again.
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This small-volume bullish candlestick pattern, has bottomed out several times, bought in several times. The market is not that gentle.
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The problem is, those who sell at the rebound often sell at the starting point. Discipline and greed, in essence, are about gambling on human nature.
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Living is harder than making money, this hits home. If the principal is lost, no strategy will help.
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5-day and 20-day moving averages... don’t be fooled by indicators, the true bottom is never that clear.
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Adding on profits? Most people are greedier when they are profitable, and only think of stop-loss when they are losing. That’s backwards.
This set of strategies sounds simple, but in practice, it really depends on human nature.
Stop-loss and take-profit sound nice, but in reality, they test whether you can let go.
Five-day and twenty-day moving averages, simple as they are, the key is to really follow the discipline.
Living and making money is much harder than you think, honestly.
Wait, are you saying discipline is more important than technology? I think that's right.
The explanation of market rhythm is okay, but with so many tricks in the crypto world, who can really see through them?
To put it plainly, if the principal is gone, the game is over, no doubt about that.
Nine out of ten contract traders die because of greed, so true.
Everyone understands this methodology, but the hard part is persistence. I have already given up.
The difference between a deep V rebound and a trap is essentially a matter of on-chain data verification. Relying on the eyes is mysticism; you need to look at the transaction volume structure.
Nine out of ten people die at the step of loss recovery, and the remaining one doesn't last long either.
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Discipline > Technology, I totally agree with this statement.
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I really hit the floor price during the early morning sharp decline, ah.
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I must keep the 10% stop-loss in mind, or I might still get wiped out.
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Using only two moving averages? Simple and straightforward, I like it.
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I've seen too many tricks of诱多 (market manipulation to lure in buyers), a late-day rally is just a trap.
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Truly disciplined traders are indeed rare; most are still driven by greed.
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Principal is life; without it, everything is over.
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Taking profits over 30% should be cleared, I almost vomited half of my gains due to greed earlier.
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This set of strategies sounds simple, but actually executing them is really difficult.