#数字资产行情上升 December ADP data just came out, with only 41,000 new jobs added, well below the expected 47,000, and the previous month even showed a negative growth of 32,000. This indicates that employment is indeed easing, but not as strong as imagined. For the US dollar, this is a mild negative, which actually reinforces expectations of rate cuts. However, note that the so-called "small non-farm" is just a appetizer; the real decision-making power still lies with the big non-farm, CPI, and PCE reports.

How do we view the rhythm of this week? Tonight’s data release is just an appetizer, with limited influence on tomorrow’s data. The real key moment is on Friday—the US December non-farm payrolls. That will be the hard anchor for setting the tone of the Fed’s January policy expectations. Market sentiment is not in extreme panic right now; the data is somewhat weak but mild, which signals "steady expectations" for rate cuts and is very favorable for risk assets and crypto rebound logic.

Regarding trading strategies, it depends on who you are. For beginners, focus on long positions, buy on dips, remember to control your position size and set stop-losses, and avoid frequent position changes. Experienced traders with systems and the ability to monitor the market can do both long and short, paying attention to key breakouts and false breakouts, entering and exiting quickly, with strict risk control. If you don’t want to monitor constantly, then act as a order placer—place buy orders at support levels and sell orders at resistance levels, avoiding fatigue from watching the screen and keeping emotions in check.

Remember these important upcoming dates: January 9th (Friday) for the big non-farm report, January 13th for CPI, and January 27th for the Fed rate decision. From a medium- to long-term perspective, the Fed’s rate cut cycle still remains the core driver for crypto assets in 2026, and loose liquidity benefits risk asset pricing. In the short term, it’s a game of data and policy expectations, with a bias towards bullishness after dips. The logic behind this wave of BTC rebound is valid; the key is whether the big non-farm can ultimately confirm this expectation.