I've been in the circle for several years, and I've seen too many people suffer from contract liquidations and mortgage property disasters. In the same market and timeframe, my account curve has always maintained a steady upward trend, with a maximum drawdown of never more than 8% over 5 years.



I don't rely on insider information, airdrops, or superstitions about candlestick patterns. The core principle is to treat the exchange as a probability machine, positioning myself as the "market maker." Today, I’ll share the experience I've accumulated over the years.

**First Set: Lock-in Profit with Compound Interest, Installing a Safety Valve for Profits**

From the moment I open a position, I must set take-profit and stop-loss orders—this is not optional but mandatory. Once profits reach 10% of the principal, I withdraw 50% of the profit to a cold wallet, and the remaining "white-earned money" is used to roll over positions.

What are the benefits of this approach? If the market continues to trend favorably, the compound effect keeps working; if the market reverses, at most I give back half of the profits, and the principal remains rock solid. Over these 5 years, I have officially taken profits 37 times, with a weekly maximum withdrawal of 180,000 USDT, and I was even contacted via video call by exchange customer service to verify the source of funds.

**Second Set: Displaced Positioning, Harvesting Both Sides in a Volatile Market**

Simultaneously observe the daily, 4-hour, and 15-minute timeframes—determine the main direction on the daily, identify operational zones on the 4-hour, and use the 15-minute for precise entries. For the same coin, I open two positions: A order chasing a breakout on the long side with stop-loss at the previous low on the daily; B order using limit orders to ambush overbought areas on the 4-hour for shorting.

Both stop-losses are controlled within 1.5% of the principal, with take-profit targets set at over 5 times. Most of the market time is spent consolidating. When others get liquidated, I profit from both sides. During the Luna crash in 2022, within 24 hours, the coin price plunged 90%. Both my long and short take-profit orders were triggered, and my account gained 42% in a single day.

**Third Set: Stop-Loss as a Shortcut to Big Gains, Small Risks for Big Opportunities**

Many see stop-loss as a failure, but I view it as a "ticket" to the next opportunity. Using a small risk of 1.5% to exchange for the chance to manipulate the market—gradually moving the take-profit in good markets to let profits run, and cutting losses quickly in bad markets.

Long-term statistics show my win rate is only 38%, but the key figure is a profit-to-loss ratio of 4.8:1. This means for every 1 dollar risked, I can reliably earn 1.9 dollars, with a positive mathematical expectation. Catching two major trend moves in a year can yield returns exceeding bank savings products.

**Three Iron Rules for Practical Trading**

Funds must be divided into 10 parts, with each position not exceeding 1 part of the principal, and no more than 3 positions open at once. After two consecutive losses, stop trading and go exercise—avoid revenge trading. When the account doubles, forcibly withdraw 20%, and invest in US bonds or gold. This way, even in a bear market, you won’t panic too much.

This method sounds simple, but execution tests your human nature. Remember: the market isn't afraid of your wrong judgment; it’s only afraid that after liquidation, you won’t be able to stand up again.
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governance_ghostvip
· 01-07 22:32
No matter how eloquently you put it, it's just armchair strategizing afterward. The key is whether it can be reliably reproduced... I don't believe it.
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GasOptimizervip
· 01-07 15:45
A nice way to put it is that it's a probability machine; a harsh way to put it is that it's gambler psychology. A 38% win rate doesn't sound that impressive either; the key is discipline in execution, which is the hardest part of all.
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liquidation_watchervip
· 01-07 15:39
That's right, the key is to protect your principal and not think about getting rich overnight.
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TokenStormvip
· 01-07 15:32
Wait, you still dare to boast about a 38% win rate? I backtested your logic, and the risk factor is indeed very high, but that assumes you can strictly follow stop-loss every time... That 42% single-day increase in LUNA sounds easy, but on-chain data shows that many retail investors who tried to bottom fish at that time were also drained by Melton. Surviving was mostly due to luck. I believe half of your 8% drawdown over 5 years, but I need to see the exchange export records for the other half. It's not that I don't trust you; it's just that there are too many "backtesting gods" in this circle.
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WhaleWatchervip
· 01-07 15:31
That's right, stop-loss is the protector of principal. Many people end up liquidating their positions because they can't bear to cut losses.
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NFTArchaeologistvip
· 01-07 15:28
38% win rate with a 4.8 times profit and loss ratio, this mathematical expectation is indeed attractive.
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