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The upward trend on the 2026/1/12 $SOL major cycle (daily/4-hour) is clear and strengthening. However, on the smaller cycles (1-hour/15-minute), due to rapid short-term gains, there is a need for technical correction.
Key Level Analysis
Resistance Levels Above:
1. Recent High Resistance: 141.60 - 142.00 (January 11 high area). Breaking through this will challenge the previous high.
2. Strong Resistance / Previous High: 143.48 (the stage high set on January 6). This is the most important attack target for the bulls.
Support Levels Below:
1. Dynamic Support / Recent Breakout Level: 138.50 - 139.00. This is the upper boundary of the recent consolidation platform and also the middle of the large bullish candle on January 11, turning into an important support.
2. Trendline and EMA Support: 137.00 - 137.50. This area combines the fast EMA (currently ~137.23) and the lows of multiple previous candles, serving as the lifeline of the upward trend. If broken, the bullish structure will be threatened.
3. Strong Support: 135.70 - 136.00 (the recent low during the January 7 pullback). As long as the price stays above this area, the overall bullish pattern remains intact.
Trading Suggestions
The trend is bullish, but short-term chasing is not advisable. Wait for a pullback to support levels or confirmation signals after a trend breakout.
1. For holders: Continue holding, and move the stop-loss up to below 137.00. Watch the price action around the resistance zone of 141.60-143.48. If there is stagnation or a dead cross in StochRSI at high levels, consider reducing positions to lock in profits.
2. For observers/traders:
Aggressive Strategy: Wait for the price to pull back to the support zone of 138.50-139.00 and show signs of stabilization (such as a reversal pattern in small cycle candles, StochRSI rising from oversold). Consider entering with a light position, with a stop-loss below 137.00.
Conservative Strategy: Wait for a confirmed breakout and stabilization above the previous high of 143.48, then look for a pullback confirmation to enter, aiming for trend continuation.
Risk Warning: Extreme overbought conditions in StochRSI are a clear short-term risk signal. Pay close attention to volume changes. If volume diminishes during new highs (divergence between volume and price), or if a long upper shadow appears on candles indicating stagnation, the probability and depth of a pullback will increase. #每日行情分析 #2026行情预测 #SOL