#比特币价格分析 Bitcoin at $87,500 has already clearly diverged from the correlation track of US stocks and gold—this signal is very important. Based on historical data, if we reverse engineer, considering the correlation with the stock market and gold, BTC should be in the $4,500-$6,900 range, but it is now far beyond this range, indicating that the market has already adopted a different pricing logic.

A similar decoupling phenomenon occurred when BTC was below $1,000, which was followed by approximately a tenfold increase. It sounds very tempting, but we need to be rational—historical patterns can repeat only if the market structure has not fundamentally changed. If the mechanism has already changed, the trend will naturally deviate from historical trajectories.

What can we learn from this? Observing the depth and duration of decoupling can help judge the nature of this market movement. If the decoupling continues to expand, it indicates that a new consensus is forming; if it begins to converge and fall back, then a reassessment is needed. In the short term, this uncertainty actually provides more interaction opportunities—the key is to seize the hot interaction windows of mainstream projects and accumulate chips at minimal cost. Once the verification period ends, the answer will naturally become clear.