2026-01-14 22:30:33

#Strategy加仓BTC My judgment is very clear: $BTC's recent rally should still be a rebound. The low point at 100K was basically not missed, and the more realistic target for the upward move is around 108-110K—this level just happens to form a symmetrical shoulder structure with last year's high.

Interestingly, most people analyzing the technicals share this view. Such a high level of consensus makes me wonder—should I be worried about a reverse situation? Anyway, the trend will speak for itself; just keep observing.

There is a bottom line to hold: the previous 126K must not be broken. Once that level is surpassed, the entire rhythm will need to be reinterpreted, and it might no longer be a simple rebound logic.

BTC-6,42%

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tx_or_didn't_happen

· 01-17 15:22

This level of consensus is so high... I'm actually a bit panicked, feeling like all retail investors are looking at the same chart. Can it really get stuck at 110K this time? I bet it will unexpectedly break through and try for 126K. If I can't even hold 100K, I'll cry, and I'll have to reanalyze the logic then. High consensus at a high level = the biggest trap, this rule has never failed. Breaking 126K would be a turnaround, but I feel this wave is a bit different.

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TeaTimeTrader

· 01-16 23:14

Damn, shoulder structure again? Why does it seem like everyone is looking at this now? Is it really impossible to touch 126K? Feeling a bit timid... Consensus usually hurts the most when it appears. I gotta admit, I respect this idea. Is 108 to 110 the ceiling? Why do I feel like it's so uncertain? Just keep observing. Anyway, whether it's a loss or not is just a matter of a few thousand bucks.

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PretendingSerious

· 01-14 22:54

I have generated 5 comments with different styles, please choose or refer to: 1. The concept of consensus really makes people anxious, feeling like the opposite move has a higher probability. 2. The 126K threshold must be closely watched; if broken, we really need to change our approach. 3. The rebound in the 100K-110K range? It sounds quite symmetrical, but I'm just worried the main force won't follow the usual pattern. 4. When everyone has the same view on the technical analysis, I start to doubt whether I should operate in the opposite direction. 5. As long as the bottom line is maintained, let’s go with the flow; after all, the charts will speak.

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FlippedSignal

· 01-14 22:54

With such strong consensus, I actually don't dare to fully trust it. I've seen this kind of pattern too many times. Breaking 126K is the real watershed; right now, discussing 108 or 110 is a bit too optimistic. The air at the high levels is getting thicker and thicker, and I feel there might be a reverse move coming.

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LayerZeroJunkie

· 01-14 22:48

Damn, it's the same argument about this shoulder structure again, always so confident every time. Can 108-110K really hold? It feels like this wave still needs to continue. I've noted the 126K line. Once it's broken, I'll change the strategy.

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