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Ondo Finance will face a critical liquidity stress test. It is reported that the project plans to unlock 772 million tokens on January 18, 2026.
This release amount reaches 130% of the current circulating supply, a new high in history. But it is worth noting that Ondo holds a strong position in the stablecoin field—its UST (USD-pegged asset) collateralization ratio is as high as 53%.
The key to this "RWA stress test" is: with such a large-scale token entering the market, can it be absorbed under the project's ecosystem support? Is the liquidity pool deep enough? How is market acceptance? These questions directly determine the price trend after the token unlock.
For investors, this is a window to observe the real demand in the RWA track. For project teams, this is a moment to prove their fundamentals. The data accumulated in the coming months will provide valuable references for the entire real asset tokenization market.
Ondo's gamble is too big this time; can the stability coin's advantages hold up?
130% of the supply released, it feels like the prelude to a major death spiral
The real stress test is coming; either prove that RWA has a future or become a textbook negative case
The January 2026 point in time is actually a gamble on whether the market can withstand it
It seems like this depends heavily on liquidity depth; it's too critical
Ondo's UST collateral ratio is so high, should it all collapse together?
But on the other hand, if this scale of testing succeeds, it will be truly meaningful
On the day of token unlock, there might be bloodshed or a spectacular rebound
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Ondo really took a big gamble this time. Whether it can withstand depends entirely on liquidity.
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A stablecoin ratio of 53% can save the day? I doubt it. With the flood of tokens, nothing will help.
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The stress test in January 2026, it feels like we should already be preparing for this downturn.
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The real test for the RWA track is here. Either prove yourself or get ready to be proven wrong.
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The depth of the liquidity pool can be seen at a glance. Don't bother with those empty promises.