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#欧美关税风波冲击市场 The escalation of US-European trade frictions has triggered a significant pullback in the crypto market, with risk-averse sentiment intensifying. Currently, short-term volatility risks are prominent, but the market's long-term structure remains intact, emphasizing the importance of defensive positioning and rhythm control.
BTC and ETH technical indicators both broke below key support levels; on daily and hourly charts, RSI has entered oversold territory. A short-term rebound may occur, but the main trend remains uncertain.
Trading volume shows sell-offs without severe liquidity pressure, indicating a typical rapid release of sentiment.
The fear index has declined, and social media sentiment has shifted towards bearishness, with mainstream institutional funds adopting a short-term wait-and-see approach.
Spot ETF and other long-term buy orders have not exited en masse, reflecting underlying confidence still exists, but short-term bullishness is cautious.
Options market expectations for future volatility have increased, with rising volume in risk hedging positions.
Investment Recommendations
Short-term Strategy: Prioritize stability, reduce high leverage operations, focus on support levels around 85,000-92,000(BTC), and near 3,200(ETH). Before stabilization, consider phased low-cost entries with strict stop-losses, avoiding chasing rallies or panic selling.
Long-term Strategy: The fundamental center remains unchanged; industry institutions hold coins steadily, and the impact of policy changes is temporary and unsustainable. Long-term investors can continue dollar-cost averaging into mainstream coins, balancing cash flow and asset allocation.
Defensive Positioning: Maintain asset flexibility, moderately allocate to stable assets like USDT, and keep ammunition ready to increase positions after market stabilization.
Risk Warning
The market remains heavily influenced by geopolitical and policy battles, and volatility may increase in the short term.
If support levels are broken, such as BTC falling below 85,000(, panic selling could intensify. Strict stop-losses are essential.
Large funds are increasingly adopting a wait-and-see stance in the short term; retail investors should avoid emotional decisions.
This investment advice is for reference only. Please operate cautiously according to your own risk tolerance.