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Subject: Action themes: Moderate averaging or speculative short positions within the range.
The market is assessed as predominantly bearish: short-term growth probability ≈ 40%, decline probability ≈ 60%. Panic sell-off moments appear close to a local bottom, but technical confirmation has not yet been established. $BTC
BTC ≈ 78,688.3 USDT
Bullish scenario:
A rebound is possible if a double bottom forms at 75,000 USDT and RSI > 40. Support is provided by institutional wallet activity and negative funding rates, creating prerequisites for a "short squeeze."
Short-term buy📈
Entry: 75,500 USDT (30% of position)
Stop-loss: 73,900 USDT
Take-profit: 80,000 USDT
Bearish scenario:
If it consolidates below 74,500 USDT, the asset will open the way to 69,000 USDT. Increased selling volumes and rising open interest indicate continued liquidation of positions. Ethereum and XRP show similar weakening, which amplifies the risk signal.
Short-term sell📉
Entry: 74,500 USDT (25% of position)
Stop-loss: 76,100 USDT
Take-profit: 69,000 USDT