Italy’s 10-Year BTP Yield Falls as Inflation Cools

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Italy’s 10-year BTP yield slipped further below 3.5% as markets reacted to weaker eurozone inflation data ahead of the European Central Bank’s decision due Thursday. Eurozone CPI slowed to 1.7% in January, comfortably below the ECB’s target, while core inflation unexpectedly fell to 2.2%, its lowest since October 2021, raising concerns that a stronger euro could trigger a resumption of rate cuts paused in June. In Italy, inflation eased to 1.0%, the lowest level since October 2024. The ECB is widely expected to keep rates unchanged for a fifth consecutive meeting, with officials likely evaluating the deflationary impact of a stronger euro. ECB President Christine Lagarde is expected to reaffirm that monetary policy remains in a “good place,” while money markets anticipate rates will remain steady through 2026.

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