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2.4 Review Leo's Forward-Looking Breakdown Chen Xiaoqun and Yu Ge doing T Aerospace
Trend — Rise to prominence and then decline — When the extreme is reached, reversal follows — This is the essence of the current market!
The formation of trends is not achieved overnight. During an upward move, there are pullbacks; at the end of a decline, opportunities emerge. There are no eternal bull markets, nor everlasting extreme trends. When prices reach their peak, capital disagreements breed, profit-taking leads to a shift; at the bottom, valuations return to reasonable levels, and bottom-fishing funds enter, prompting a reversal. Understanding the cycle of trends helps avoid chasing highs in mania and panicking during downturns. By following the规律 (laws/natural patterns) rather than fighting the trend, respecting cycles rather than obsessing over directions, one can maintain their core mindset amid market fluctuations and grasp the rhythm.
Today, the overall market opened lower and moved higher, with divergences appearing during the session. However, in the late trading, under the influence of heavyweight stocks, there was a strong recovery, bringing the index back to 4100 points. Still, the market did not see increased volume, which reflects the previously analyzed logic: breaking through 4000 is fully valid, but due to the pre-year market nodes, it remains in a chaotic oscillation. Today’s sector themes are still quite chaotic, with no persistent strong leaders; rotation remains the main theme. Also, yesterday pointed out that the previous phase has been cleared, and preparations for the second phase of themes are underway — this is the biggest direction for this year’s行情 (market trend)! The market’s return to 4100 points today clearly indicates that funds are starting to flow in. Therefore, many times, I hope readers can understand the meaning I convey, rather than taking words out of context. The market will continue to fluctuate within a trend with sector rotations, requiring a left-side mindset.
The commercial aerospace sector still shows significant divergence, which was confirmed in yesterday’s review. Currently, the commercial aerospace sector is truly beginning its trend recovery, but attention should be paid to the rhythm of volatility.
The aerospace development sector actually performed relatively weakly today; failing to upgrade to the second board was within expectations. However, the overall turnover volume today was quite adequate, so tomorrow’s focus is on whether it can retest the 20-day moving average without breaking it — this is the opportunity for low-entry.
Guli (Juli), which was highlighted yesterday, hit the T-0 limit today, leading the current recovery. Tomorrow is likely to open high, with intra-day rotation to release divergences. A decline during the session is an opportunity; even if the stock hits the limit down, subsequent fluctuations will continue. If it can advance further tomorrow, it signals sector inflow.
Today, the Western sector retested the 5-day moving average, which was also a previously identified entry point, representing normal divergence within a trend. Tomorrow, it depends on whether the bidding can open slightly higher, followed by a rally to restore strength. Trend-following stocks shouldn’t expect to hit the daily limit; even a few points intra-day are opportunities for T+ trading.
Similarly, related to SpaceX, there is some support today. Tomorrow’s focus is on whether it can retest the 5-day moving average for a strong recovery. Overall, there is an expectation of a new trend high.
Tongyu (Tung Yu) also belongs to the trend-following category. Based on your own situation, remember that trends do not happen overnight. If you lack patience, don’t choose this style.
The robotics sector today formed a red cross star pattern, indicating stabilization at the bottom. A major trend requires a catalyst; the core of the trend is Wuzhou (Wuzhou International), which also closed with four consecutive positive days today. Be alert for the appearance of a bearish line, which could signal support. The key idea here is the Spring Festival Gala, with robot collaborations on stage — you can explore this on your own.
The AI software sector experienced significant divergence, reflecting a stark contrast in today’s market. There are two main reasons: first, the tech sector on the external side has begun a large correction; second, the Yuanbao (Yuan treasure) water surge has overwhelmed the Dragon King’s Temple. These are negative news after review, adding uncertainty to the market.
Zhejiang Wen’s early morning bidding opened high, but after news about Yuanbao, it weakened throughout the session. Zhejiang Wen is relatively resilient; tomorrow’s focus is on whether it can retest the 5-day moving average for recovery. As mentioned yesterday, today should be a strong upward move; if you chase high during the session, it shows insufficient understanding.
Lio (Liu) may have been analyzed with more foresight yesterday. It was pointed out that after a surge, a sharp decline would follow. The logic is that since the floor pivot, it has been oscillating around the previous high. Lio has not shown significant negative feedback since the floor pivot, so it’s time to make a decisive choice. When Lio opened lower and then surged to turn red, the decline orders were clearly large, with no support on the time-sharing chart, and it was subsequently hammered down to the floor. This indicates that the market’s expectations for Lio are not high. As mentioned yesterday, caution is advised before breaking the previous high on the left side!
Tomorrow’s Expected Direction:
Tuori New Energy: Commercial Aerospace + Space Photovoltaics + Perovskite
Trading is essentially a game of strategy. If you lack the courage to gamble, how can you trade? The market is never undefeated.
Those who support the masses cannot let them perish in the wilderness. The大道 (Great Way) is boundless; act without争 (争=争夺,争夺=争夺), wishing you a long rainbow on your journey! Note: The opinions expressed are personal thoughts and records only, not investment advice. Maintain a good mindset. $Lio Shares (sz002131)$, $Aerospace Development (sz000547)$, $Blue Focus (sz300058)$