Rotating market trends, avoid chasing highs and selling lows. Stay alert to market rotations, and do not get caught up in the hype by buying at peaks or selling at lows. Keep a clear head and follow the market's rhythm to make better investment decisions.

Current Holdings: Satellite ETF, Photovoltaic ETF, Xinwei Communications, Aerospace Electronics, Aerospace Development, Western Materials, China Satellite, BlueFocus, Yankuang Energy [Taogu Ba]

Satellite ETF: Buy on dips during bidding, didn’t dare to add when it dropped early in the morning, sold quickly when it recovered.
Photovoltaic ETF: Buy on dips during bidding, sold around the same time as Satellite ETF, later photovoltaic sector exploded, so I sold it too.
Xinwei Communications: Buy on dips during bidding, dropped early in the morning, then pulled back to the moving average forming an inverted T, profit from yesterday, but sold it today.
Aerospace Electronics: Buy on dips during bidding, sold near 0%.
Aerospace Development: Opened higher than expected during bidding, saw aerospace sector plunge later, but held up well, bought around 3%, sold around 5%.
Western Materials: Buy on dips during bidding, got buried.
China Satellite: Bought near 1% at the open, the only one not buried.
BlueFocus: Basically bought at the highest point of the day, ouch.
Yankuang Energy: Originally thought today would be a rebound for non-ferrous metals, but bidding looked competitive, worried about overpaying at 25 cents, so didn’t bid, decided to wait until bidding ended to see if I should act. The market then shot straight up at open, leaving no chance to think, so I gave up on the anti-nuclear non-ferrous metals. Saw coal moving, which is a cyclical stock, so I bought the first coal stock that hit the board, but it then broke the limit. Thought it was a fake move, but later saw news about Indonesia reducing production.

Sold and exited:

Zhejiang Wenhu Lian: Didn’t sell in the morning, pulled back at the end of the day and sold.

Yesterday’s review:

Last night, I expected aerospace resonance index to surge strongly, thinking there would be at least a rally. Bought on dips early in the morning to lower costs, during bidding, I was buying in bulk. Not long after, everything fell, everyone was stunned. So this morning, I was hesitant to add more in deep water, then quickly sold in bulk as it pulled back, also mentioned in my post (around 10:20).

Today, aerospace fell mainly due to a small negative report about Blue Arrow Aerospace (which was clarified during and after trading), but I feel the bigger reason is that yesterday’s surge was a rotation, and today’s correction is normal. Every rebound exceeds expectations, every correction also exceeds expectations. Thought this time would be different, but it’s the same every time—two words: exhausted.

Application stocks fell today mainly because overseas reports said that the stronger the large models, the greater the impact on traditional software sectors, causing a mass sell-off of global software stocks. I didn’t see this news yesterday, only saw it during today’s decline, otherwise I wouldn’t have bought BlueFocus (by the way, BlueFocus can also ride the big model wave, and why did Kunlun Wanwei, which is a genuine big model company, also rally then fall back??). The only solution is quantitative trading—regardless of the reason, if it’s software-related, sell in bulk. (Fortunately, after hours, there was news driving the application sector, and Huang Jiao’s clarification, so tomorrow might see some recovery.)

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News 1: Application stocks are exhausted today. Will they recover tomorrow?

News 2: You said you’re just randomly spreading negative news, and Huang Jiao has to clarify.

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Data overview:

Rotation chart: Where will the fan sector rotate to tomorrow?

Consecutive limit-up data: Fairly average, no signs of recovery.

Average profit and loss: Started losing money in the second half of January. Now it’s Tuesday and Thursday with gains. Will tomorrow be green?

Average position: Need to pay attention. It seems that an average position below 80% is a boundary—below 80% indicates a neutral or cold sentiment, around 85% is near a climax or peak.

Market sentiment: 58%, just in the middle—neither high nor low.

The data doesn’t seem to need fixing; it indicates that tomorrow’s sentiment being good or bad is normal. So, today’s data has limited reference value; these figures are only meaningful during sentiment peaks or bottoms.

But three things to watch:

1. For three consecutive Mondays and Wednesdays, the average loss per person occurred, and on Tuesdays and Thursdays, the market was in the red.
2. In recent rotation cycles, bottoms tend to rebound the next day, and peaks tend to sell off the next day—this pattern has returned.
3. When the average position is below 80%, the probability of a red opening the next day is high.
4. Recently, major aerospace declines tend to recover the next day, with a high chance of bottom-fishing at the close or the next day.

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Commercial Aerospace: Recently strong sectors include space photovoltaics, SpaceX, and offshore recovery.

Space Photovoltaics: Batteries, equipment, materials.

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Tomorrow’s expectations:

The aerospace sector that resonated yesterday seems only the photovoltaic branch has strengthened. Currently, only space photovoltaics are relatively strong within the aerospace sector. Most of the previous popular aerospace stocks are not doing well. But this space photovoltaics branch is driven mainly by Musk’s public statements and factory inspections, not by intrinsic strength, so it’s hard to tell if it’s genuinely strong or just news-driven. Similar to the peak day, you don’t know who is truly strong and who is just riding the news or sector momentum. It’s only worth monitoring. After two days of big gains, tomorrow is likely to see some divergence or disagreement, so it’s not ideal to buy again tomorrow.

Tomorrow, space photovoltaics may show divergence or disagreement, which could also affect the older aerospace stocks. Theoretically, aerospace stocks might not be easy to buy tomorrow. If there’s a big dip during the day, consider low buying near the 20-day, 30-day, and 60-day moving averages, as many stocks seem to have bottomed out—e.g., Aerospace Mechanical & Electrical found support near the 60-day line with two days of rebound, China Satellite near the 30-day line with two days of rebound. (Today, during market divergence, both didn’t fall much, giving the impression they can’t go lower). This isn’t a suggestion to buy these two directly, just an analysis to find stocks near their moving averages that have stabilized.

Application stocks fell sharply today but were driven by news after hours. Tomorrow might see a weak recovery, but if the strength isn’t significant, it’s a sign to sell rather than buy. Watch if BlueFocus can cut losses and exit.

Since it’s still a rotation market, continue focusing on aerospace and application stocks until a new, sustainable theme emerges. Keep positions below 50%. During trading, try to catch the first limit-up of new themes (e.g., today’s new themes include coal and hydrogen energy). The main goal is to test the waters; if the next day can’t quickly hit the limit-up, just sell. No need to force a pattern.

Recent market behavior suggests cyclical stocks are getting stronger—metals (gold, silver), non-ferrous (copper, aluminum), gasoline, chemicals, coal, real estate, liquor—all old sectors. Meanwhile, newer sectors like robotics, computing power, AI, aerospace, and tech tend to surge for a day or two, then adjust for 1-3 days. Keep observing this pattern.

Finally, the recent market is quite challenging—full of rotation, lacking continuity. Looking at average profit/loss shows this clearly. No need to overexert; the more effort, the more losses. It’s better to relax. Many aerospace stocks rebounded over 10%, some even 20-50%, after retreating, which is better than chasing highs and selling lows.

New position plan: None

Position management:

Satellite ETF: Hold steady, buy on dips of about -3 for T+0 trading.
Photovoltaic ETF: Hold steady, buy on dips of about -3 for T+0 trading.
Xinwei Communications: Hold.
Aerospace Electronics: Hold.
Aerospace Development: Consider low buying if it drops below -3.
Western Materials: Hold.
China Satellite: Hold.
BlueFocus: Exit after repair.
Yankuang Energy: Rapid limit-up, hold or sell accordingly.

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Basic tutorials (to be continuously updated):
I used to share basic tutorials in posts, as I believe most short-term traders have some foundation. Last month, I wrote a very basic article that received over 200 likes, many tips, and nearly 100 saves—something I didn’t expect. Previously, I poured heart and soul into sharing trading philosophies and strategies, but few liked or saved. Now I realize that people without a basic foundation can’t understand my writing. (Oops, no one reminded me!) I will compile some basic articles for beginners to help them understand my future writings.

💡 Resistance + support levels—generally suitable for T+0 trading (T+0 technicals)

💡 Exploiting rebound + arbitrage—this is the simplest, will add more later

💡 Trading cycle points for a theme

💡 Rotation market strategies

💡 Daily auction data to watch

💡 Stock selection based on chart patterns

💡 Chart pattern imitation

💡 Finding patterns through data analysis (timing trades)

💡 Key nodes in sentiment cycles and trend style control

💡 Hot theme convertible bonds + ETF arbitrage

💡 Limit-up relay, sentiment prediction (using mental models, data, quantitative timing)

💡 Using review data to set next-day expectations (institutional trends)

Thank you all very much for your support and tips!