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Bloodbath! $BTC breaks through the 72,000 support level, triggering a global asset sell-off. Can your faith still hold up?
$BTC price briefly fell below $72,000, marking the first time in nearly fifteen months that this key level was breached. Compared to its October high last year, it has retraced over 42%, with a year-to-date decline of about 17%, dropping to the lowest level since early November last year.
The nature of this decline has changed. It is no longer a continuation of internal deleveraging within the crypto market but stems from broader cross-asset pressures. On Wednesday, global markets experienced synchronized sell-offs, with the Nasdaq 100 index falling more than 2%. Sectors sensitive to interest rates, such as software and chips, generally came under pressure, and $BTC also weakened accordingly.
Market sentiment is also shifting. A “crisis of faith” is forming. An asset management partner pointed out that the market is experiencing a “crisis of faith.” Another business development executive said that crypto market sentiment is now in a state of “extreme fear,” and if $72,000 is lost, $BTC could drop to $68,000 or even return to the low range before the rebound earlier this year.
Market betting predictions are even more pessimistic. Data shows that there is an 83% chance that $BTC will fall to $65,000 this year, and the probability of dropping below $55,000 has risen to about 59%.
The rapid shift in risk appetite has led to $BTC being clearly classified as a “high-volatility risk asset.” The sell-off on Wednesday was directly related to widespread cross-market tension rather than driven solely by internal crypto liquidation. This means that during the phase of synchronized market selling, $BTC did not demonstrate resilience independent of risk assets.
The price retracement is quickly transmitting through market cap contraction. Since the October peak last year, the total market value of cryptocurrencies has shrunk by approximately $1.7 trillion. In just the past week, market capitalization decreased by over $460 billion. As the largest cryptocurrency, the decline in $BTC’s magnitude and speed has an “anchoring effect” on market sentiment.
The drivers of the decline have shifted from forced liquidations to emotional breakdowns. Previously, the decline was mainly driven by crypto-specific liquidations, but current pressure comes from external risk assets being broadly under pressure. Even if internal leverage unwinds are over, as long as external conditions do not improve, $BTC may still lack catalysts for an independent rebound.
$72,000 is seen as a short-term critical threshold. Several traders believe that if this level cannot be held, $BTC is likely to test $68,000.
Market liquidity signals are also showing signs of instability. The $BTC spot ETF listed in the US recorded a net inflow of about $562 million on Monday but turned into a net outflow of $272 million on Tuesday, indicating that incremental funds are highly unstable. Under the dual pressure of falling prices and fluctuating capital flows, doubts about $BTC’s role as a “safe haven during stressful periods” are intensifying.
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