Has the market opened before the holiday?

Preface

Turning Point!
This is your
—— watershed
This is also your upcoming
opportunity for a complete transformation
In the ups and downs of short-term trading,
the word “turning point” is a chess move that reverses the situation

1. Market Review:
   Today, only a screenshot. Yesterday, I bought Hangzhou Jiebai at a low point, and today it offered a one-word premium. During today’s morning session,
   Longsheng, Runtu, and Jinji all delivered big gains intraday. Brothers who followed along, remember to give a thumbs-up, thank you!

2. Market Breakdown:

(1) Understanding the Index: Today, 5 stocks hit the daily limit down in both markets, indicating short-term sentiment remains chaotic. Since there are only 5 trading days until the Spring Festival, today’s volume shrank again, and it’s likely to continue shrinking in the near future.

3. Valuable Insights: 《Identifying the Chaos Period》

(1) What is the Short-Term Trading Chaos Period?
The chaos period in short-term trading is a transitional phase where the old main line recedes and the new main line has not yet established itself. The core features are trial-and-error by existing funds, unordered sector rotation, and fragmented profit opportunities. It often appears at the end of a major cycle or during main line switching, lasting 1-2 weeks with high operational difficulty.
Essentially, funds are repeatedly betting without a clear direction, with rapid rotation and no sustained collective effort, serving as a “warm-up period” before the main line confirmation.

(2) Four Dimensions to Identify the Chaos Period

• Market: No clear main line, sectors are “one-day tours,” sector rotation exceeds 2 trading days, yesterday’s leading stocks weaken the next day, and repairs are mostly weak with no overnight premium. The height of consecutive limit-ups is below 5, with nearly 50% of breakages, more than 10 stocks hitting the limit down, emotional tearing, a “fire and ice” situation.
• Funds: Predominantly stockpile battles with no new funds, sector “seesaw” clearly visible, rises always accompanied by bloodshed, weak support, easy to collapse after surging; northbound funds fluctuate greatly with no sustained inflow, trading volume continues to shrink.
• Targets: Leading stocks fail, premium recognition disappears, break-the-limit leaders rarely recover; strong stocks show divergence, follow-up stocks underperform, recovery or rebound is highly random, technical indicators frequently fail.
• Sentiment: Rapid emotional shifts (daily level), weak resonance difficult to sustain; funds’ trial-and-error → consensus → profit-taking cycle shortens to 1-3 days, profit opportunities are dispersed, easy to chase and sell at a loss.

(3) Quantitative Signals for Identification (Quick Judgment)

1. Consecutive 3-day limit-up height ≤ 5, breakage rate ≥ 40%, ≥10 stocks hit the limit down.
2. Two markets’ trading volume continuously shrinks, more than 3 sectors rotate daily.
3. No premium for leading stocks, follow-up stocks underperform, old main line only sporadic rebounds at low levels.
4. Sector “one-day tours,” no main line lasting over 3 days, funds’ divergence dominates the market.

(4) Key Points for Identification
The core of the chaos period is the absence of a main line, sector divergence, and emotional tearing. It’s necessary to abandon “pattern” thinking, focus on light positions for trial-and-error, quick entries and exits, and wait for a new main line to form before increasing positions.

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Alright, that’s all for today’s review. The opportunity next Monday will be detailed in Sunday afternoon’s article.