Driven by technology and price increases! Can it break above 4155 points before the holiday on February 13?

Today, the expected AI hardware computing power is strong, with the main line of computing power leading the rally. Structural opportunities are dominating the market, and the dual main lines driven before the holiday remain stable. After the holiday, the dual-wheel drive pattern will continue: “Technology growth + cyclical resource price increase logic.” Technology growth will focus on “AI + industrial chain (computing power + hardware + applications + smart grids)” and “cyclical resources (chemical industry, non-ferrous metals) price increase logic,” which is expected to form the dual drive after the holiday. It is estimated that this rotation pattern will continue throughout 2026. When a single core main line like the 2025 commercial aerospace emerges again depends on institutional funds and policy incentives after the holiday. [Taogu Bar]

I. Core themes and recognizable stocks review AI computing power industry chain analysis:

1. AI computing power: Driven by overseas computing orders and the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission’s “AI+” deployment, CPO, liquid-cooled servers, and computing power leasing are exploding. CPO direction Tianfu Communication rose over 10%, hitting a new high; liquid-cooled servers Invekco hit the daily limit; computing power leasing giant Tech4 consecutive limit-ups; UCloud, Capital Online both hit the daily limit, with high recognition and capital concentration in the sector.

2. Cyclical growth: Small metals/glass fibers (price increase mainline) driven by a large jump in tungsten prices, with Xianglu Tungsten, Zhangyuan Tungsten hitting the limit. Glass fibers benefit from electronic fabric price hikes, Shandong Glass Fiber hit two consecutive limit-ups. Supply contraction plus policy support resonated; chemical stocks that were hot in recent days saw profit-taking today.

3. Power grid equipment (policy mainline): The nationwide unified electricity market implementation and high growth in exports boost Siyuan Electric, Sifang Co., and others to new highs; Wang Bian Electric hit the limit. The continued release of demand for computing power and electricity supports this sector, which also benefits from AI + smart grid directions.

4. AI application in film and TV and AI short drama media sectors, which were hot in the past two days, continue to be profit-taking today. Consumer, film, and theater line sectors weaken; those who chase hot spots repeatedly are facing losses.

5. Short-term sentiment and consecutive limit-up stocks: Baichuan hit 4 limit-ups and then broke the streak; the maximum consecutive limit-ups are locked at 4 (Yabo Co., Ltd., Dawi Technology, iReader Technology). Funds are clustering around core targets. Low-priced thematic stocks rotate quickly but lack sustainability. The high-direction trend remains without continuous strengthening.

II. February 13 (last trading day before the holiday) expectations and operational suggestions Index forecast:

If overseas markets remain stable tonight, the technology mainline still has inertia to push higher tomorrow. The Shanghai Composite Index may challenge the 4152-point resistance. However, note that the current market is still a “rotation bull” rather than a broad rally bull; chasing highs carries uncertain premiums. Expect mainly narrow fluctuations, with the Shanghai Index trading around 4130-4155 points, with slightly reduced volume. The market will close steadily, with most people holding cash for the holiday. Personally, I have recommended holding 50% of positions this week.

Core theme continuation:

1. AI computing power: CPO, liquid cooling, computing power leasing, and AI smart grids remain the top choices for funds. Focus on recognizable stocks like Dawi Technology, Tefa Information, Tianfu Communication, Invekco, etc.

2. Cyclical growth: Price increases and policy logic remain intact. Focus on leading stocks on dips, such as Shandong Glass Fiber, Baichuan Co., Ltd., Runtu Co., Ltd., Walltai, etc., which are still preferred for fund replenishment during tech adjustments.

3. Focus holdings on core stocks of the mainline, avoid chasing highs and fighting battles. Consider moderate profit-taking at the close.

Overall direction: After the holiday, focus on computing power, semiconductors, and new productive forces, awaiting policy catalysts from the Two Sessions. The market before the holiday was mainly stable, with clear dual main lines of computing power and price increases. Operation should emphasize recognizable stocks and position control. Rest assured and enjoy the holiday, then re-engage afterward. The February window for bullishness remains open. The dual rotation of technology and price increase mainlines offers opportunities; divergence is risk, consensus is danger.

Tomorrow is the last trading day after the holiday. There’s no need to chase limit-ups; today’s gains are from early positions at low levels. During the holiday, I hope everyone can review and plan more. Especially for 2025 operations, change the habit of daily chasing and selling on highs. Use a core method for trading. If unsure, use the strategy of break and rebound after a limit-up to plan for 2026. Many stocks today can be accumulated on low dips using the break-and-rebound logic. Given the volume today, consider taking profits of 50% first. I keep emphasizing this, but many still like to chase highs, and old habits persist. Yesterday, many chased AI film stocks still stuck in mid-mountain. For example, Guangxian Media, which was chased yesterday, has already lost 15% in two days. This is a lesson. Wake up and adopt a fixed pattern:

1. Break and rebound with volume, follow the 5-day moving average, strongest pattern;
2. Break and rebound with reduced volume, platform retracement, safest;
3. Constantly switch stocks daily, chase hot spots, buy high and sell low—success depends on luck!

February 13 limit-up expectations:

1 into 2: Invekco, Shun Na Co., Ltd., East China Digital Control 2 into 3: Shandong Glass Fiber, Haoliang Data 3 into 4: Tefa Information

1. Core points about break and rebound: within 3 days, repair the upper edge of the break day’s real body, close above it; then 3–5 days of adjustment, retrace to the upper edge or highest point of the break day.

2. If not repaired within 3 days, it’s a platform consolidation pattern, with sideways retracement to the previous limit-up’s top (limit-up price). This is strong support and the main force’s cost zone.

3. Should it be a volume rebound or a volume reduction rebound? How to do relay rebounds or platform rebounds?

4. How to track strategies after consecutive limit-ups with huge volume on both the bullish and bearish sides.

As retail investors, how should you act? How to distinguish main force control points and costs? These are essential to understand. If you want to make money in 2026 and avoid losses, learn well and apply a mature trading system. Stop chasing highs and selling lows every day.

For practicality, I will organize a clear and applicable method during the holiday. It depends on your support and luck!

The above is today’s review and tomorrow’s expectations. This is personal understanding, not stock recommendations. The stock market is risky; invest carefully!

Basic points for retail beginners: https://www.tgb.cn/a/2mMTc7FXQK7 Trading system logic for retail investors: https://www.tgb.cn/a/2mYwg3v7E5a Dragon return and limit-up with doubled volume bearish: https://www.tgb.cn/a/2mBn1ixdByO Limit-up with doubled volume bearish: https://www.tgb.cn/a/2lEUa47ymQ2 Previous high resistance level: https://www.tgb.cn/a/2lBLGVcOrao Short-term volume-price minute chart: https://www.tgb.cn/a/2nZLYgF3Bj9 Upgraded break and rebound pattern: https://www.tgb.cn/a/2ogiO91wRZj Details of break and rebound strategy: https://www.tgb.cn/a/2oqmISWbF4A Details of huge volume bearish rebound: https://www.tgb.cn/a/2oQTYc3NLrj

4. Sentiment and consecutive limit-ups: Baichuan broke the 4-limit-up streak; the maximum consecutive limit-ups are locked at 4 (Yabo Co., Ltd., Dawi Technology, iReader Technology). Funds are clustering around core targets. Low-priced thematic stocks rotate quickly but lack sustainability. The high-level trend still lacks continuous strength.