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🚨 INSTITUTIONAL SELLING REACHED A RECORD HIGH. BUT LTH IS GATHERING AGAIN
The BTC market is in a contradictory phase: aggressive selling by funds and simultaneous strengthening of long-term accumulation.
📉 1️⃣ The Most Aggressive Institutional Sell-Off
According to Charles Edwards, last week saw the largest net BTC sell-off by institutions in recorded history.
This increases short-term pressure and explains the weak price dynamics.
Institutional flow now is a risk factor.
🧱 2️⃣ Long-term Holders (LTH) Are Changing Behavior
Since November 23, the LTH supply has increased by +400,000 BTC.
That is, coins are moving into the 155+ days holding category — this is the accumulation phase.
After the introduction of ETFs, the market structure changed:
redistribution cycles became shorter, and LTH reactions faster.
An interesting historical moment:
In previous periods, when the LTH supply started to grow,
the market bottom had already been formed.
📊 3️⃣ Extreme Trend Values
According to Swissblock:
— 20 days of extremely negative dynamics
— 135-day bearish trend
— Indicators at levels characteristic of major lows (mid-2022 period)
Currently, risk and impulse indices remain weak.
But a sharp reversal of these metrics has historically triggered sustainable bullish cycles.
Balance of the picture
🔴 Institutions are actively reducing positions
🟢 LTHs are accumulating
🟡 Metrics are in the zone of historical extremes
⚠️ The impulse remains bearish for now
Short-term pressure persists due to institutional outflows.
Medium-term, the increase in LTH supply and extreme metric values create prerequisites for forming a base.
The capitulation and accumulation phases can occur simultaneously.
The market is in a zone where long-term opportunities have historically formed —
but confirmation will require a reversal of the impulse and a return of demand.
#bitcoin #metrics #KRYPTON $BTC $GT