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- Short-term trend: Stimulated by positive policy catalysts, SOL experienced a sharp rally. The daily MACD formed a bullish crossover, but the weekly/3-day chart remains in a downtrend, representing an oversold bounce + whale distribution at highs, not a trend reversal.
- Whale behavior: Leveraging positive news to quickly push prices higher, triggering massive short liquidations, while simultaneously distributing holdings at elevated levels through large transfers and big trades to lure retail traders into taking positions.
- Risk warning: Current price is in a strong resistance zone with extreme risk of chasing highs. Short positions are underwater but require strict risk management. Wait for pullback opportunities after whale distribution completes.
Direction | Entry Position | Stop Loss | Take Profit | Notes
Multi (Cautious) | 80.8-81.0 (EMA25 support) | 79.5 (Recent pullback low) | 83.0 (Strong resistance) | Suitable only for short-term scalping, liquidate on breakdown
Short (Priority) | 82.5-83.0 (Strong resistance zone) | 84.0 (Volume breakout level) | 78.0 (Previous trading range) | High probability of pullback after whale distribution
Short (Deep position) | — | 84.0 (Strict stop loss) | 78.0 (Breakeven target) | 75.x shorts need to endure volatility, liquidate on breakdown
1. Prohibit chasing highs: Avoid opening longs above 83.0 to prevent taking whale's distribution positions.
2. Strict stop losses: Short stop loss at 84.0, long stop loss at 79.5. Do not hold positions or add against the trend.
3. Trade with the trend: Main trend remains bearish. Bounces are opportunities to reduce losses/exit positions, not reversal signals.
- Daily MACD bullish crossover is passive correction; weekly/3-day remains in downtrend with limited bounce potential.
#当前行情抄底还是观望？
- Whales pushing higher on positive news for distribution, with large transfers and big trades showing chips being distributed at highs.
$BTC
- Key resistance 83.0, support 80.8. Breakouts confirm trend continuation; operations require strict risk management.
$SOL