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Deep Crypto Market Capitulation Setting Up Massive Bull Run – Henrik Zeberg's Elliott Wave Analysis
The crypto market is currently experiencing one of the most volatile and emotionally intense phases in its history. Liquidations and price declines over the past few weeks have unsettled many investors — but according to macroeconomist Henrik Zeberg, this could actually be the catalyst for one of the biggest bull rallies ever. His perspective on the current market dynamics offers both hope and valuable context for understanding long-term cycles.
Why Henrik Zeberg sees the current correction as a necessary market cleanup
Henrik Zeberg, Head Macro Economist at Swissblock, holds a contrary view to the current market fatigue: Capitulation is not the end, but a psychological and technical revaluation event. He describes the current process as an “emotional reset” that lays the groundwork for the next growth phase.
From his perspective, what’s happening in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the broader crypto market is exactly what is needed in healthy bull markets — a capitulation phase following the completion of a larger correction wave. Henrik Zeberg emphasizes: “This is the point where we should feel the worst in a bull market.” This statement highlights an important psychological shift: sharp price declines drive weak hands and small speculators out of the market, while simultaneously refreshing sentiment for a new upward momentum.
Elliott Wave Theory: Wave-2 Capitulation as a critical turning point
Henrik Zeberg analyzes the current market through the lens of Elliott Wave Theory. He believes the market is just finishing a Wave-2 capitulation within a larger Wave-B correction fragment. This theoretical classification has significant implications for what comes next.
According to Elliott Wave Theory, the upcoming Wave 3 typically represents the “euphoric blow-off” — the phase with the strongest price impulse. Henrik Zeberg expects this phase to be driven by several factors: new liquidity inflows, growing investor confidence, and a full altcoin season, where capital flows rapidly and massively from established giants like Bitcoin and Ethereum into smaller altcoins.
Explosive price scenarios: Bitcoin over $160,000 and Ethereum much higher
Based on this Elliott analysis, Henrik Zeberg forecasts ambitious price targets for the next bull run. He believes Bitcoin could break the psychologically significant $160,000 mark. For Ethereum and other major altcoins, he anticipates even more dramatic gains.
His Ethereum forecast shows escalation: he expects an initial rise to $6,000, then gradually to $7,500, $10,000, and possibly even $12,000 if the rally gains momentum and participation increases. These scenarios are based on the assumption that the altseason dynamic fully unfolds and institutional as well as retail capital flows into the altcoin sphere.
Bull run with caution: The global ‘Everything Bubble’ awaits
However, Henrik Zeberg also warns of the long-term consequences of this massive rally. His analysis suggests that this explosive price increase will likely mark the final phase of the global “Everything Bubble” — a systemic overextension across all asset classes. After the parabolic peak, a sharp and painful deflationary crash would follow, a significant correction that could reset the entire financial system.
This is an important distinction: the upcoming Wave 3 rally could also be the peak of a long-term overextension. Henrik Zeberg points out, however, that at the market’s top, the prevailing sentiment will reflect the exact opposite of these realistic scenarios — pure optimism instead of caution.
Market confirmations and parallel analyses
Market conditions over the past 24 hours show extreme liquidation activity with over $500 million in positions wiped out — a clear sign of volatility, which Zeberg considers necessary for market cleansing. However, other analysts remain optimistic about the overall picture.
Famous technician Michaël van de Poppe recently noted that Bitcoin’s weekly chart “looks quite healthy.” He believes consolidation and correction phases are not only normal but beneficial for sustainable growth. If next week shows green candles, van de Poppe’s analysis suggests Bitcoin is preparing for new all-time highs.
This observation supports Henrik Zeberg’s thesis: the current market context resembles late Q4 2019. Back then, a consolidation phase led to a massive rally. Many altcoin projects are also making solid fundamental progress today that has yet to be reflected in prices. Once the market movement picks up again, altcoin recovery could be extremely rapid, surpassing previous all-time highs.
Conclusion: Henrik Zeberg’s roadmap for the bull run
Henrik Zeberg’s analysis provides investors with a nuanced framework between short-term pessimism and long-term optimism. The current capitulation is not the end, but a necessary prelude to one of the most explosive rallies in the crypto cycle. Yet, this bull run could also mark the final phase of a global overextension. For informed investors, this means: stay alert, strategize, and understand that at the peak, reality and sentiment are often worlds apart.