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Ethereum Faces Contradiction: Network Activity Surges But ETH Price Plummets
CryptoQuant points out a concerning phenomenon where Ethereum is facing what they call the “verification paradox” — a situation where the relationship between network activity and ETH price begins to diverge. According to data from The Block, a blockchain analytics company, CryptoQuant found that although daily active addresses and smart contract transactions reached all-time highs, the ETH price has dropped more than 50% from its recent peak.
The “Work but No Price” Phenomenon on the Ethereum Network
CryptoQuant’s chief researcher states that the positive correlation between ETH price and activity driven by smart contracts has significantly weakened. Data from last month shows that contract calls hit record highs, but this is no longer reflected in the market price. This phenomenon differs from the 2021 bear market, when network activity and price were more closely correlated.
Strong Selling Pressure from Inflows to Exchanges
Ethereum’s market situation can be better explained through the lens of inflows to exchanges rather than network activity indicators. Notably, ETH inflow rates to exchanges are clearly higher than Bitcoin’s, indicating stronger selling pressure. This reflects how institutions and holders are managing their liquidity.
The true value of Ethereum compared to last year has recently turned negative, signaling that capital is flowing out despite the blockchain’s ongoing growth and usage potential. Currently, ETH is priced at $2.13K, with a 2.73% increase over the past 24 hours.
Looking for a Way Out of the Bear Market Loop
For Ethereum to truly break free from the bear market, CryptoQuant suggests that clear changes in key indicators are necessary, including positive capital inflows and reduced inflows to exchanges. The current situation Ethereum faces serves as a reminder that network activity and market price are not the same indicators. Everything depends on the direction of capital flows. The chief researcher warns that if the bear market continues, ETH could risk falling to around $1,500, possibly in late Q3 or early Q4.