Two possible scenarios for the upcoming market (probability order)

1. High probability (70%+): Downward breakout
If it breaks below 1990.58, expect an accelerated decline, entering a new downtrend. Stop-loss can be set above 1990, and short positions can be considered.
2. Low probability (rebound trap): Fake breakout upward
If it unexpectedly breaks above 2010.87 or even 2041.79, observe whether trading volume increases. Only if a breakout above the upper band is accompanied by volume can the pattern be considered invalid, shifting to neutral or slightly bullish. Currently, both moving averages and channels do not support this scenario.

Overall assessment: In the short to medium term, the market remains predominantly bearish. The descending triangle pattern is highly mature; patience is advised until a clear breakout direction emerges. The market could enter an acceleration phase at any time, so risk management is essential. #创作者冲榜