My college roommate, in order to catch up with Polymarket's Asian market, woke up at 5 a.m. every day for six consecutive months. The result? His girlfriend left him, gained 16 pounds, and breakfast? Nonexistent—just chugged a cup of coffee and got to work.

Later, he wrote an agent to monitor it for him. In the first month, his returns increased by 15%, and he immediately deleted the 5 a.m. alarm clock.
Honestly, a half-asleep person trading is really less effective than a 200-line script.
I used to think that "self-discipline" meant waking up early. Later, I realized it was just stubbornly forcing it—losing money and damaging health. When I finally sat down to write this agent myself, I realized the underlying principle was actually quite simple.
The core ideas are a few:
1. Use Claude for sentiment analysis, scanning over 40 Asian news sources every 15 minutes—Reuters Asia, Nikkei, South China Morning Post, Yonhap News, and others.
2. NLP sentiment classification, comparing sentiment shifts with Polymarket odds. When news comes out but odds haven't moved yet, that's an entry window.
3. Kelly criterion for position sizing—no more feeling-based "let's bet more when it feels right."
4. Single trade hard stop-loss at 5%. Mistakes are okay, but you can't let the entire account collapse.
5. Entry cooldown to prevent the agent from stacking a bunch of highly correlated positions in quick succession.
I didn't follow any of these rules at 5 a.m.—I knew the logic, but under adrenaline and caffeine, every trade felt like a "sure thing."
Later, I backtested my previous manual trades, and it was pretty eye-opening: about 60% of the trades I placed while half-asleep were filtered out by my agent's expected value filter. And it was precisely these trades that dragged down overall returns.
When I built my own agent, I needed a benchmark—a wallet already running similar logic to compare data against.
I actually found one that almost mirrors the approach I described—monitoring the Asian market, calculating coldly and emotionlessly.
I bookmarked it and check in from time to time to see how it handles various market conditions:

Before running my own agent, I used this wallet to test automatic copy trading.
If you want to observe how others' strategies work before you try to do it yourself, this is a useful way: