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Trump's Ultimatum Changed from "Black Swan" to "Paper Tiger"
News Updates: Trump's 5-Day Cooling-Off Period: Trump has explicitly stated that due to "productive dialogue," the U.S. military will delay its 5-day plan to strike Iranian energy facilities. This means the 48-hour sword of Damocles hanging over the crypto space is temporarily sheathed.
Strait Restored to Normal Traffic: Commercial vessels are now transiting through the Strait of Hormuz, and oil prices have plummeted from their highs (currently fluctuating around $100 ).
$BTC $ETH Logic Reversal: The previous decline was "war panic," and now the rally is a "peace bonus." The market is recovering the valuations that were previously unjustly sold off.
Technical Analysis: V-shaped Reversal Confirmed + Gap Recovery
Strong Support Confirmed: Price rebounded from around $67k and successfully held the $70,000 psychological level. The long lower wick proves there are massive institutional buy orders below.
Alligator Line Opening Upward: On the 1-hour timeframe, the Alligator indicator has shifted from entanglement to opening upward, with price trading above all three lines, which is a typical bullish primary wave launch pattern.
Trump's ceasefire + strait traffic resumption. Faced with such significant positive news, MACD technical bearish crossover is merely providing fuel for the bulls.
Sentiment Analysis: Short Squeeze
In the past 24 hours, batch liquidations occurred for leveraged shorts accumulated between $68k-$69k , with shorts' stop-loss buy orders becoming fuel for the bulls' advance.
CME Gap: The previous gap near $70k has been filled by this penetration, and selling pressure above has become very light after yesterday's intense washout.
Trading Strategy: Buy on dips.
Entry Point: Can take light positions around current price of 70200, with a retest of 69200-69800 being an excellent opportunity to add positions.
Stop Loss: Strictly set at 68800 (the V-reversal launch point from yesterday). As long as this level doesn't break, the bullish structure remains solid.
Target: First wave targeting 71800, second wave targeting the catch-up rally near 73500.
"Don't be scared out of your position by the bears before dawn! Trump's peace signal has been issued, BTC has reclaimed the 70k mark. The current dip is institutions picking up the last batch of discounted coins.
Oil prices fell, inflation expectations dropped, and peace signals emerged. If you're shorting at this level, you're betting that Trump's ultimatum will be invalidated tonight. Do you think you have good odds?
Remember: When reading indicators, look at the trend; when reading the market, look at the bigger picture. The peace bonus has been issued—dare you take it? 👇