#美联储恢复降息进程 $BTC The monthly chart has already formed a death cross signal, which means bearish forces may be preparing for a concentrated release. Looking back at historical trends, after a monthly death cross, the main players often trigger a wave of intensive short selling in the following month—this has almost become the usual rhythm of trading.

Next, the market is likely to follow one of two paths:

Path A: Before March, affected by the death cross, a technical rebound is triggered, with prices surging to around $100,000, then entering a months-long adjustment period with a pullback of 45%-50% until a bottom is established.

Path B: Also sees a rebound before March, but this time reaches the previous high area, after which a multi-month deep correction begins, with a drop of about 45%-50%.

In the short term, the focus for these two months is to seize the rebound window after the death cross, and not rush to blindly short. In addition, I'm currently observing a low-level asset; the technical pattern shows signs of a strong rally, and even a conservative estimate suggests a 7-10x upside potential.