#数字货币市场回调 Do you believe it when I say? Sometimes luck just plays tricks on people.
The day before yesterday, a friend came to me to vent, saying that he was stuck with $TRADOOR. I happened to be studying this coin for a while and felt that it would still drop again in the short term, so I advised him not to rush to cut his losses and to patiently wait for an opportunity to break even.
So what’s the outcome? I personally got delayed by various matters and missed the best opportunity to short. Meanwhile, this guy had incredible luck and just happened to hit that wave of crash — his account dir

#美联储恢复降息进程 Recently, several signals are worth noting. There have been hints of an interest rate hike from the Bank of Japan, which is an unfavourable information for the market, as tightening liquidity is never good news.
On the other side, MicroStrategy is making significant moves—they just announced the establishment of a $1.44 billion reserve fund specifically to pay dividends on preferred shares and interest on debts. This company has placed such heavy bets on Bitcoin, and now creating a liquidity pool to stabilize its financial structure can also be seen as a reassurance for investors.

To be honest, I used to do those crazy things too - 100x leverage, Heavy Position, All in. Fortunately, I was lucky enough not to end up in debt. However, I still lost quite a bit, roughly estimating it was around 30,000 RMB, which converts to about over 100,000 TWD? I didn't calculate it precisely, but anyway, it's just a tuition fee.
Now? I brought back 60U of this "ant capital". This time I won't play that game, let's just consider it a fresh start. I will continuously update the status of this account—no bragging if I earn, and no hiding if I lose. I want to see how much I

#美联储恢复降息进程 Ethereum's recent movements are worth a close look, as the market structure is undergoing subtle changes.
The rapid decline a few days ago may not be bad news. Data shows that approximately $210 million in long positions were liquidated within 24 hours, clearing out most of the panic selling. More importantly, there are about $1.43 billion in short stop-loss orders densely stacked around the $2884 mark—once this position is triggered, it could lead to a chain reaction of liquidations.
From a technical perspective, $2718 has held firm during two tests, establishing a relatively

#数字货币市场回调 This wave of fall is quite severe. In the past day, the entire crypto world market capitalization has evaporated by 4.1%, now dropping to $3.04 trillion. Bitcoin has plunged to around $87,200, falling by 4%; Ethereum is even worse, with a 5% drop bringing the price down to about $2,850. What about the DePIN and Layer 2 zones? They are leading the fall, exceeding 7%.
To be honest, this round of sell-off started during the Asian session. The trigger was over in Japan — their 2-year government bond yield surged to 1.02%, the highest point since 2008. As interest rates rise, funds start

Many people in the crypto world are getting more and more complicated with their operations; indicators pile up on the screen, chasing news endlessly, and as a result, their accounts are becoming leaner.
I entered the market at 22 years old, growing from 50,000 to 10 million. There's no insider information, nor am I exceptionally gifted. It's just a stubborn and simple approach—simplifying the complex, and then honing the simple techniques to perfection.
Let me talk about my three stages.
In the first two years, it crawled from 30,000 to 1.2 million, which was painfully slow, but the f

#美联储恢复降息进程 Let's review the early morning trend: Bitcoin dropped to a low of 83822, after which long positions started to fight back, pumping all the way to around 86860 before getting range-bound. Ethereum also rebounded, climbing from 2716 to 2814 before starting to move sideways. Yesterday, the actual trading rhythm was quite accurate here; after making a small profit on the long order and exiting, I directly took the opposite position for shorting, capturing 7385 points in Bitcoin and also gaining 269 points in Ethereum. Friends who followed this line of thought should have made a goo

This morning when I woke up and saw BTC break through 86000, to be honest, my heart skipped a beat.
It's not because of the drop itself—I've seen this kind of volatility many times. What really makes my scalp tingle is the number hidden beneath the surface: 76%.
The market is now betting that the probability of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates in December has surged to 76%, and is approaching 90% in January. You might think, how does it matter to my crypto market whether an island nation’s central bank raises interest rates or not?
The relationship has become significant.
In th

#数字货币市场回调 First, let's state the conclusion: this wave of the daily chart has basically reached its second test.
Looking back at my judgment on the 29th and 30th, the market trend is quite close to what I expected. The current rhythm is very clear - in the short term, it may surge to the range of 97000 to 98000, and then continue to move down in the larger direction.
The key is to look at the 84000 level. If it holds, or if it briefly breaks below and quickly recovers, that would be a typical bear trap. In such cases, play it the other way: buy on dips, take profit on rebounds, and don

Let's talk about the current shorting opportunities.
In terms of Bitcoin, the position at 85300 can be considered for shorting. A deviation within a hundred points is acceptable, just enter directly. Keep the leverage at 20 times, and don't exceed 20% of your position—that's the key. Set the stop loss at 85800, which allows for a tolerance space of 500 points.
Broke 85000? Then move the stop-loss to the cost price, and protect the principal first. The target is around 79266, just wait patiently.
The logic is similar on the Ethereum side. Shorting at the current price of 2750, set a

Let's talk about the most painful thing in the crypto world - it's not about how much you've lost, but being directly Get Liquidated and exiting.
I have seen too many people who dare to go all in with a few thousand U in hand, and a wave of correction directly returns to zero. To be honest, this kind of play is no different from giving away money.
I have also fallen into traps myself. At that time, I had 20,000 U in my account, thinking I had studied everything thoroughly. What happened? I chased highs, held on stubbornly, and acted emotionally, and in the end, there was barely any

Recently, a major stablecoin project has been exposed in a shocking scandal. The TUSD operating team successfully froze a stolen asset worth up to $456 million through the Dubai court – and the perpetrator was actually the accomplice responsible for holding the reserves.
The events can be described as a magical realism script. The US dollar reserves that should have been lying in the bank accounts, anchored 1:1 with the circulating tokens, were actually colluded by the custodians both inside and outside, transferred layer by layer with forged documents, eventually flowing into a private enterp

#数字货币市场回调 has been signaling shorting all day today, and those who didn't follow up are probably regretting it now? $BTC $ETH this pullback has been quite severe.

The price movement of Bitcoin has been quite strange in the last two months. Every time it falls, there are people eager to buy the dip, and the Long-Short Ratio has remained above 2 for a long time, indicating a strong willingness from institutions to catch a falling knife. However, Wall Street's goal this time is very clear - they are targeting treasury companies like MicroStrategy. Their net asset value (mNAV) must drop below 1 for them to stop, so according to this logic, the target price should be around 72000.
Yesterday, I opened short positions for BTC, ETH, and SOL at the high of 9

#数字货币市场回调 opened a short order at the position of 91800, and now it has fallen to 84200. This drop has earned nearly 8000 points, and I haven't closed the position yet, continuing to look bearish. The market's pullback trend is quite obvious, currently holding the position for observation.

Bitcoin broke through 86000 today, at first I thought it was just another routine whipsaw operation.
Until I saw a number: 76%.
Spent several hours following this lead, and the conclusion is spine-chilling — it could be the prologue to a $14 trillion series of explosions.
**76% probability: Will the Bank of Japan take action in December?**
The hot topic in the圈内 these days is that the Bank of Japan may announce an interest rate hike on December 18-19. This is not without reason. Traders are voting with real money, giving a 76% probability of a rate hike in December, and it even soared to 90% f

#数字资产市场观察 is holding three positions in hand, and every day while watching the market, I'm just wondering when I'll get a chance to flip things around. The market's adjustment has been dragging on a bit too long, and the numbers on the account aren't a pleasant sight. I know I shouldn't be thinking about recouping investment in one go, but human nature is like that, always hoping for a big flippening to happen someday. Right now, I'm just waiting to see if these three assets can perform well. Sometimes I feel like this market tests not only one's vision but even mo

#美SEC推动加密创新监管 Today, this Bearish line has come down, and you want to turn things around in December? Don't dream just yet. My current view is very straightforward—don't expect any violent Rebound from now until the end of January. Recently, the regulators have started to pay close attention again, and the reason is simple: various scam ads have popped up again on social platforms, a bunch of people have been trapped into the market and then played people for suckers, and public opinion is naturally in an uproar.
To be honest, the tightening of regulations is somewhat unavoidable. Aft

#数字货币市场回调 Today, I saw a rebound touching the 2843 position, and a top divergence signal has already appeared in the small timeframe structure.
Without much thought, I went short directly. In the end, I secured my profits at the point of 2812.
The profits in this range are quite stable.
$BTC $ETH $XRP

#美联储恢复降息进程 This wave hit 18 points, the Fed's expectation of interest rate cuts has risen again, and market sentiment is indeed warming up. It seems that the macroeconomic direction still has a driving effect on alts.