#数字货币市场洞察 $BTC Today's market is quite interesting—it briefly surged above $94,000, with an intraday gain of over 2%, but the four-hour chart is already flashing warning signs.

Let's look at the hard data: the daily high for BTC reached $93,930, and the low retested $90,950. Spot ETF funds are still flowing in, and whale addresses are quietly increasing their holdings, so the bottom support is actually pretty solid. The issue is on the technical side—the four-hour chart is extremely overbought, and the TD Sequential 9 signal has appeared, so a short-term technical pullback is basically inevitable.

Keep an eye on a few key levels: the $90,000-$91,000 range below is a strong support zone that must hold; looking upward, today's $94,000 mark is critical—if it really breaks through, the next stop is straight to $96,500. But there are plenty of obstacles above—$94,200 Fibonacci retracement, $94,500 EMA30, and $96,450 upper Bollinger band are all tough resistance points. On the indicator side, MACD volume is expanding, and KDJ just completed a bullish crossover, so the overall trend still favors the bulls, but beware of short-term pullbacks.

On the macro side, there's a key variable: over the past month, Bitcoin has shown a clear negative correlation with the US Dollar Index—when the dollar strengthens, BTC struggles. The market is still holding out for a Fed rate cut, and the outcome of the December 11 FOMC meeting could directly set the tone for the subsequent trend. If a rate cut actually happens, risk assets could benefit significantly from this round.

$BTC