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🔴 92% Consensus Trap: When Everyone is Bullish, Who Will Buy?
The market's bet on a Fed rate cut has just soared to 92%—the highest in history.
Twitter is flooded with cheers for the "return of the bull market," and everyone is waiting for that bullish catalyst to materialize.
But I want to ask a question drowned out by all this cheering: When 92% of people are betting in the same direction, what are the remaining 8% thinking?
1. The "strange" divergence in the data