Recently, I browsed through the historical archives of the "shutdown" of the US government and found an interesting pattern.
Since 1976, this scenario has played out 21 times, with an average closure of 6 days each time. Whenever it happens, the market is filled with wailing, and the media makes it seem like the sky is falling. But guess what? Once the government resumes operations, the market often starts to reverse.
From 1995 to 1996, the stock market first took a hit, and then it started to soar. In 2013, it stopped for 16 days, and after that, the S&P took off like a rocket. The most intense period was from 2018 to 2019, when it was closed for 35 days, setting a historical record, and as a result, the US stock market hit new highs directly after reopening.
Once you see this bullish trend, you'll understand - what the market truly fears is not the "bad news itself", but the "uncertain situation". Once the shoe drops, money will start to find its way out.
At this point in time, if the standstill really ends, it could be a turning signal. What should be done at this moment? It's not about panic selling, nor is it about waiting until the last moment, but rather about being prepared in advance.
The crypto market has always been like this - first rising expectations, then rising reality. By the time everyone realizes it, the prices that should have risen have already done so. Mainstream coins like ETH, BTC, and ZEC go through this "bottoming out - breaking through" process before every major cycle transition.
Now might be the end of that "grind". Once the wind changes, the pace is very fast.