#稳定币市场动态 Noted the latest developments of MegaETH. The project has decided to refund all funds raised through pre-bridge deposits. From on-chain data, this could trigger a wave of short-term capital flow. It is worth noting that they plan to reopen the USDC and USDM conversion bridge before the launch of the Frontier mainnet. This move is likely aimed at increasing liquidity and preparing for the upcoming mainnet test version. It is recommended to closely monitor the performance of USDm within the ecosystem, as it may become an important indicator for assessing MegaETH's future development. F

#比特币价格走势 This week's Bitcoin price movement has once again caught my attention. Based on the data, BTC has risen over 7% from November's lows, returning above $90,000. This rally is related to an overall increase in market risk appetite. Notably, stocks, bonds, and commodities markets have also moved higher in tandem, indicating a general flow of funds into risk assets.
Analyzing on-chain data, I observe that large holders (commonly known as "whales") have recently become more active. Fund flow shows that institutional investors are gradually increasing their allocation to cryptocurrencies. T

#美联储货币政策预期 Noted the latest Beige Book survey released by the Federal Reserve. Economic data shows uneven trends, with growing polarization in the consumer market. The high-end consumer segment remains stable, while overall consumer spending continues to decline. Employment levels have slightly decreased, and prices are rising moderately. These indicators reflect an uneven economic recovery with potential risks still present.
Regarding the policy direction for the December meeting, there are disagreements within the Federal Reserve. Based on current economic conditions, maintaining interest r

#Binance Alpha活动 analyzed the GUA airdrop data from Binance Alpha's latest issue. A single user can receive 750 GUA tokens, which is approximately $54 at the current price of $0.072. This number is slightly less than the airdrops in previous periods. However, considering that GUA's current market capitalization is only $3.24 million, there may be some room for growth in the future. It is advisable to pay attention to the subsequent price movements and trading volume changes of the GUA token to assess whether there are any short-term arbitrage opportunities. At the same time, it is also necess

#比特币价格走势分析 An interesting phenomenon has emerged in the Bitcoin market today. The data shows that large-scale buying occurred in the $92,300 to $92,500 range, with buyer slippage reaching 163 BTC, a recent high. This sudden buying pressure caused the price to jump from $91,740 to $92,315 almost instantaneously, skipping the usual slow upward process.
Judging from the on-chain data, this rise was not driven by a conventional chart structure but was triggered by aggressive market orders. Hyblock data shows that before the price surged, the "max buy" slippage indicator was 14.0 and the "max sell

#Binance Alpha空投活动 just noticed the latest developments in the Binance Alpha airdrop campaign. The points threshold of 252 points may not seem high, but it actually screens a group of active users. This strategy is clever, incentivizing users to participate in platform activities while also controlling the token distribution scope. It is worth noting that if the reward pool is not distributed, the threshold will be gradually lowered. This means that early participants have a better chance of getting airdrops. Users who are interested in participating are advised to pay close attention to the

#比特币价格分析与预测 Observing the recent price movement of Bitcoin, it is evident that the key support level is around $83,680. This level marks the intersection of the 100-week SMA and the macro bullish trendline, giving it significant technical importance. If this level is breached, it could trigger a larger-scale sell-off. The main resistance currently lies at the 200-hour SMA around $88,000; a breakout above this level could open up further upside potential. It is advisable to closely monitor capital flows and trading volume changes at these two price points to determine the market’s next directi

#OpenSea代币发行 Noted that the OpenSea CMO has denied the ICO rumors. Such information leak incidents are worth being cautious about, but there's no need to overinterpret them. I tend to trust the official statement, as an ICO involves significant decisions and is unlikely to be easily leaked. However, this also reminds us to treat unverified market rumors with caution. Next, I will continue to track OpenSea's fund flows and contract activities to see if there are any abnormal signs. If there really is an ICO plan, on-chain data usually reflects it first. For now, I’ll remain on the sidelines an

#美国经济与金融市场分析 Market expectations for Federal Reserve policy are undergoing significant changes. JPMorgan's latest forecast predicts that rate cuts will begin in December, which is a stark reversal from its assessment just a week ago. Meanwhile, the US dollar is experiencing its largest weekly drop since July. These signals indicate that the market's outlook on the US economic prospects is shifting.
From the data perspective, core PCE for September is expected to rise by 0.22%, similar to core CPI. If it comes in below this level, the 12-month year-over-year inflation rate could drop from 2.9%

#加密货币交易平台功能更新 Analyzing this incident, the key points lie in Upbit's security vulnerability and its subsequent response. The loss of 44.5 billion KRW is significant, but the platform’s ability to quickly cover user losses demonstrates its financial strength and sense of responsibility. From a technical perspective, the private key inference vulnerability exposes a serious flaw in the system’s design, necessitating a complete overhaul of the wallet system. Such incidents can severely damage an exchange’s reputation, but Upbit’s transparent approach and full compensation may help reduce user ch

#美联储政策与利率决策 Follow developments regarding the selection of the Federal Reserve Chair and track on-chain capital flows. Hassett becoming a leading candidate implies that Fed policy may lean more toward rate cuts. This will affect market liquidity and crypto asset prices. It is recommended to closely monitor official announcements and the moves of major on-chain players to assess the potential impact of policy changes on the market. At the same time, be wary of uncertainties in the news and maintain good risk management.

#加密货币监管政策动向 Recently, I’ve been paying attention to privacy protection issues in the crypto world, and it’s definitely worth deep consideration. As regulations tighten, user privacy faces even greater challenges. Analysis shows that taking some basic measures can significantly enhance privacy and security. For example, avoiding the reuse of wallet addresses, separating identities for different purposes, and being cautious when using KYC exchanges. In particular, using tools such as VPNs and hardware wallets can effectively prevent IP leaks and private key theft risks.
From on-chain data, more

Analyzing this Upbit incident reveals that there are still significant vulnerabilities in the exchange's security management. Although the CEO has promised full compensation, the loss of 44.5 billion KRW is substantial. This once again highlights the potential risks of centralized exchanges. According to on-chain data, the attacker exploited a vulnerability related to private key inference, reminding us to pay close attention to the security of wallet systems. In the future, we may see more exchanges adopting more secure solutions such as multi-signature or distributed key management. For user

#Binance平台新功能和活动 analyzed Binance’s latest Alpha airdrop event and found that the current points threshold is set at 241 points. This value is lower than before, indicating that the platform is expanding participation. Notably, claiming the airdrop will consume 15 Alpha points, so users need to weigh the pros and cons. Additionally, the airdrop is distributed on a first-come, first-served basis, and the points threshold drops by 5 points every 5 minutes, which may incentivize users to participate actively. It’s recommended to pay attention to the airdrop timing, assess your own points status,

#DeFi生态系统发展 Noticed an interesting piece of news: Pruv Finance has secured $3 million in Pre-A round funding, mainly to build on-chain distribution infrastructure for RWAs. This reflects the DeFi ecosystem's expansion into the RWA sector. However, currently 93% of tokenized assets are still subject to transfer restrictions, hindering deeper integration with DeFi. Pruv's compliance framework may break this bottleneck and is worth keeping an eye on for its real-world implementation. Nevertheless, the integration of RWAs with DeFi still faces numerous challenges such as regulation, and it's unli

#加密衍生品交易发展 According to Polymarket prediction data, the probability of Bitcoin falling below $80,000 in November has dropped to 10%, and the probability of it falling below $75,000 is only 2%. This indicates that the market remains optimistic about Bitcoin's short-term trend, expecting it to stay at a high level. However, predictions in the derivatives market do not always correspond exactly to spot price movements, so it is still necessary to closely monitor on-chain capital flows, whale activity, and the potential impact of macroeconomic changes on the crypto market. Investors are advised t

#美联储降息预期 According to on-chain data, ETF inflows have indeed provided some support for Bitcoin, but their impact remains insufficient. Notably, recent selling pressure mainly comes from short-term holders, while long-term holders and institutions are still selectively increasing their positions. This shift in holding structure is worth paying attention to. On the other hand, US PPI data met expectations, but the Federal Reserve’s policy direction remains unclear. The market needs to weigh both the possibility of rate cuts and maintaining current rates. It is recommended to closely monitor ins